Rechercher dans ce blog

Friday, June 30, 2023

Conservatives are on a roll in their quest to remake America through the courts - CNN

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com
CNN  — 

Conservatives – despite their limited federal elected power – racked up another huge win in the great political battle of the early 21st century.

The Supreme Court’s gutting of affirmative action in college admissions on Thursday toppled another pillar of America’s liberal social infrastructure. Two more setbacks followed on Friday: the high court struck down the Biden administration’s student loan forgiveness program and dealt a blow to LGBTQ rights when it sided with a Christian web designer in Colorado who refuses to create websites to celebrate same-sex weddings out of religious objections.

Democrats have had their successes over the last 20 years – including earlier this month with decisions ordering the redraw of Alabama’s congressional map and rejecting a Trump-backed election law theory – but it often seems as though conservatives have the momentum.

Republicans only control one chamber of Congress, and narrowly so, while Democrats hold the White House and the Senate. And yet Thursday’s ruling further weakened a core principle of Democratic politics that unites the party’s presidents dating to Franklin Roosevelt – that the government should use its power to ease social injustices and lift up the disadvantaged. Civil rights advocates saw the decision as re-erecting barriers based on race that their forbears fought for decades to remove and a step back into tortured history.

Originalist conservatives, however – who argue that the text of the Constitution makes no consideration for prevailing social or racial realities – say justices upheld a core founding principle that everyone is created equal.

The decision saying colleges can no longer take race into account as a specific basis for admissions – programs that advocates said had helped elevate underrepresented Black and Latino students in higher education – sent shockwaves across the country.

It was a generational decision comparable to another precedent-busting move a year ago, when the court’s conservative majority took away the constitutional right to an abortion by throwing out the half-century-old, society-molding decision of Roe v. Wade.

Both rulings, and a flurry of other right-wing jurisprudence by the court’s bold new majority – often on freedom of religion cases that please conservative Christians – are the product of decades of activism by the conservative judicial movement. Unlike liberals, right-wing legal activists prioritized the ideological reconfiguring of the high court as a litmus test in federal elections at all levels and fast-tracked cases on key issues through courts to exploit the Supreme Court’s new makeup.

Now, the nature of America itself is being remade in sweeping doses of conservative doctrine handed down in early summer morning bombshells each year.

The wider political battle

The court’s activism is being complimented by increasingly radical conservative legislatures in many states. Those bodies are reshaping laws in other areas – firearms regulations, for instance – often with the support of the judicial nominees of Republican presidents. Any future Republican president who also has a GOP Congress is likely to try to take advantage of the court’s rightward march to pass laws on abortion and other issues that would further fundamentally change the nature of American life. One Republican presidential candidate, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, is pioneering an assault on transgender rights and the teaching of sexuality in schools that he has vowed to replicate nationwide if he wins the White House.

Republicans – as seen in the reaction to Thursday’s decision – argue that the court is merely dismantling what they see as an aberrant set of laws and jurisprudence that it itself contradicts everything for which they believe America stands. They are embracing, for instance, Justice Clarence Thomas’ concurrence in the majority opinion in the affirmative action decision that argued that “racialism simply cannot be un-done by different or more racialism” to benefit minorities since it would contradict the constitutional principle that everyone is born equal.

“Today’s decision, in combination with Dobbs, serve as a triumphant return to restoring our tattered Constitution,” Conservative Political Action Coalition chairman Matt Schlapp said in a statement.

Critics of the decision argue that the Thomas position perversely ignores the reality of a nation where racial discrimination and the inequality of opportunity still run deep.

An earlier watershed that set off a backlash

The affirmative action and Dobbs decisions recall another early summer moment, in 2015, when it appeared that the country was heading in an opposite direction. The Supreme Court ruled that June that same-sex couples could marry in all 50 states and upheld the Affordable Care Act.

At the time, it seemed as though political and social conventions were being swept away in a validation of the grassroots change that then-President Barack Obama had championed.

“Sometimes, there are days like this, when that slow, steady effort is rewarded with justice that arrives like a thunderbolt,” Obama said, referring to the legalization of same-sex marriage.

Eight years on, the thunderbolts are flying in a more reactionary direction. And President Joe Biden’s view of the conservative majority on the bench could hardly be more dark.

“This is not a normal court,” Biden said.

The comparison between two banner moments for the liberal and conservative movements helps explain a major theme of modern American politics: the clash between a more diverse, socially liberal and sometimes more secular society embodied by Obama/Bidenism and the backlash engineered by ex-President Donald Trump and conservatives, who believe that such social progress represents an existential threat to their beliefs.

It plays into the idea that the country is increasingly split between Democratic and Republican bastions. The divide lives on a national map but is also especially pronounced within states ideologically separated between liberal urban areas and conservative rural regions. Recent clashes over race and gun politics between liberal lawmakers and conservative majorities in state legislatures like Tennessee’s, for example, have exemplified this split.

Both sides of the political aisle raise the fear that America is in danger of being destroyed. But it is especially pronounced among the Republican base.

In recent years, the party’s blind loyalty to Trump’s radicalism – especially his election lies – has caused it to even challenge the structure of democracy. A sense of national crisis and imminent political extinction, for example, ran through Trump’s rhetoric in the aftermath of the 2020 election, prompting some of his followers to use violence as a way of settling their political grievances on January 6, 2021.

Liberal fury over the Supreme Court

Conservative Supreme Court decisions over the last two years have been especially hard for liberals to accept because they believe that the current majority is ill gotten.

The right’s dominance of the court happened in large part because then-Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell refused to even grant a confirmation hearing to Obama’s final pick for the top bench, Merrick Garland, who now serves as attorney general in the Biden administration. This allowed Trump to name Justice Neil Gorsuch as his first Supreme Court nominee in 2017. But McConnell later turned his back on his own questionable principle that Supreme Court nominees should not be elevated in an election year by rushing through the confirmation of Trump’s final pick, Amy Coney Barrett, in 2020 – which enshrined the current 6-3 conservative majority.

The move not only confirmed Trump’s status as a consequential president whose influence will be felt decades after he left office. It cemented McConnell among the ranks of the most significant Republican Party figures in decades and ensured conservative policies will endure even under Democratic presidencies and congressional majorities.

Recent revelations about questionable ethics practices by some of the conservative justices have further fueled fury about the legitimacy of the court among liberals.

But not all of the court’s recent decisions have infuriated the White House and Democrats. Earlier this week, for instance, liberals were hugely relieved when the court rejected a long-dormant legal theory that held that state courts and other state entities have a limited role in reviewing election rules established by state legislatures when it comes to federal elections. The so-called Independent State Legislature Theory, a favorite of the Trump campaign, had led to fears that Republican state legislatures in some states could simply decide how to allocate electoral votes regardless of results.

Still, the broad trajectory of the court – on issues including gun control, race, business, regulation, climate and many other issues – is firmly to the right.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
July 01, 2023 at 12:27AM
https://ift.tt/Y4k5dgp

Conservatives are on a roll in their quest to remake America through the courts - CNN
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/1WFbzBU
https://ift.tt/ECJs78g

Trumps version of US election law rejected once and for all - CNN

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

A version of this story appears in CNN’s What Matters newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here.

CNN  — 

The dual track realities of American democracy go like this:

  • Former President Donald Trump is in a strong position, for now, to be one of two major presidential options presented to US voters in 2024.
  • At the same time, the institutions on which the foundation of the US government are built continue the slow work of neutralizing a potential repeat of his previous attempt to sidestep the process and overturn the election.

The news Tuesday is that the US Supreme Court squarely rejected the fringe legal theory by which far-right activists and supporters of Trump hoped to be able to ignore election outcomes.

Add that ruling to these other concrete developments and percolations:

  • A law to preempt insurrection 2.0. Congress last year passed a law to clarify that, no, the vice president cannot throw out electoral votes the president doesn’t like.
  • Accountability for fake elector scheme. The Justice Department, in the form of special counsel Jack Smith, appears to be refocused on the Trump supporters who signed false certificates to the federal government, asserting they were the rightful electors for Trump in seven battleground states won by Joe Biden.

But it is Tuesday’s move by the Supreme Court that could be among the most consequential since it invalidates the fringe “independent state legislature” theory upon which Trump’s 2020 scheme was based.

What exactly did the Supreme Court do?

The court’s liberal justices were joined by three members of its conservative majority to disabuse everyone of the idea that for hundreds of years Americans have been misinterpreting the word “legislature.”

The US Constitution’s elections clause stipulates that federal elections “shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature.” Under the independent state legislature theory, now rejected by the Supreme Court, that means that state legislatures alone are in charge of federal elections and therefore are unaccountable to state courts.

The case at hand – Moore v. Harper – had to do with a 2022 North Carolina congressional map rejected by the state’s Supreme Court. But if justices had agreed that state legislatures were immune from state courts on these questions, it would have validated the idea pushed by Trump in 2020 that state legislatures could ignore election results and install their own presidential electors too. Read more about the implications for 2024.

What did Trump want in 2020?

Trump supporters thought a riff on the independent state legislature theory, written by the former Trump lawyer John Eastman, could have kept him in office past 2020, even though he lost the election.

Coincidentally, Eastman, who never thought the Supreme Court would endorse his scheme, is currently fighting to keep his law license in California, where disciplinary attorneys want him disbarred for his plan to overturn the 2020 election results.

Inspired by Eastman, Trump wanted then-Vice President Mike Pence to reject electors from key states, where Trump falsely alleged voter fraud, and hope that Republican-controlled state legislatures would select new electors to keep him in the White House.

The court did not wait for a 2020 repeat

Rather than wait for that kind of nightmare scenario – where electors selected by voters could be replaced by a partisan state legislature without state court review – a 6-3 Supreme Court majority got ahead of things.

“The Elections Clause does not insulate state legislatures from the ordinary exercise of state judicial review,” wrote Chief Justice John Roberts for the majority, which also included the Trump-nominated Justices Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett.

Why the court may have acted now

CNN’s Joan Biskupic said it’s important that Roberts and the majority acted on the merits of the case, rejecting the independent state legislature theory when they could simply have sidestepped the issue.

“I think with 2024 looming, they probably thought, do it now, because there were challenges coming down the road that were similar,” Biskupic said on “Inside Politics” on Tuesday. “Do it now, do it outside of a presidential election year and get it done with.”

Trump still defends his push to sidestep voters

Trump, meanwhile, still believes the 2020 election should have been overturned and legislators in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Georgia, among other states, would have given him their electoral votes.

“(Pence) should have put the votes back to the state legislatures and I think we would have had a different outcome. I really do,” a combative Trump told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins during a CNN town hall in May.

It’s not news that Trump and his supporters take an alternate reality view of the law. They have similarly rejected his indictment for conspiracy and mishandling national security material as a politically motivated witch hunt.

They will continue to reject the charges even after CNN on Monday published audio of Trump meeting with people who did not have security clearance, rustling papers he said were a Pentagon battle plan for Iran, and seeming to admit that he did not have the power to declassify them.

Two things can be true

“We have to be able to see the reality that two things can be true at the same time,” CNN’s political director David Chalian said on “Inside Politics” on Tuesday.

“This can be a dangerous, reckless, perhaps criminal bit of behavior by a former president of the United States, and it may not actually damage him politically – may not – inside the context of a Republican nomination race.”

Winning the Republican primary, by the way, requires appealing to a very different set of voters than winning the White House.

What does this say about the Supreme Court?

It’s also true that despite a decisive rejection of a fringe legal theory, there has been a clear rightward shift at the Supreme Court. It ended nationwide abortion rights by overturning Roe v. Wade and invalidated powers long utilized for public safety by the Environmental Protection Agency and other government agencies.

But on questions of the democratic process, multiple decisions this month have confounded the perception that a new conservative majority is bent on remaking the country.

In decisions this term, for instance, the justices declined to further erode the Voting Rights Act and ruled that Alabama must redraw congressional maps to include a new majority-Black district. That decision will have repercussions – already seen with a case involving Louisiana’s congressional map – that could jeopardize Republicans’ control of the House.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 28, 2023 at 04:09AM
https://ift.tt/F8LKYOl

Trump’s version of US election law rejected once and for all - CNN
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/1WFbzBU
https://ift.tt/ECJs78g

Monday, June 26, 2023

Germany: Far-right AfD victory prompts political earthquake - DW (English)

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

Sunday's election result in a small district in east Germany's Thuringia region has triggered a political earthquake and a deluge of media and social media comments.

The Sonneberg election marked the first time a candidate from the far-right populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) was elected to head a government — albeit that of a small district of only 57,000 inhabitants. 

A district administrator does not have much clout, but jubilant AfD leaders are hoping the victory will herald far greater political success. According to the latest opinion polls, the AfD has realistic chances of becoming the strongest political force in three eastern German states in regional elections set for 2024.

Electorate unfazed by AfD scandals

All this is despite the various scandals that AfD politicians find themselves embroiled in: The mishandling of party donations, evidence of connections with militant right-wing extremists and racist hate speech. And, voters in Thuringia seem undeterred by the fact that several party figureheads have made positive references to fascism and the National Socialist regime under Adolf Hitler. Party co-leader Tino Chrupalla is confident that the recent election success is "just the beginning!"

Why the AfD is surging in polls

The AfD seems to be scoring points among voters on two political stances in particular: Opposing immigration and climate protection. For years, stirring up sentiment against refugees, immigrants and Muslims has been at the center of the AfD's political campaign.

"The AfD's basic narrative has always been that there is a threat to German culture. For a long time, this came from the outside, through migrants," political analyst Johannes Hillje told the taz newspaper. "Now the narrative is that this threat is also coming from within, through the transformation of society to climate neutrality — a central project of the center-left coalition in Berlin and the Green Party."

AfD seen as 'threat to democracy'

The center-left national government, a coalition of Social Democrats (SPD), Greens and the neoliberal Free Democrats (FDP), has been fraught with infighting over its energy policies, nuclear power, and introducing a speed limit on the Autobahn. To get laws passed at times of international crisis, they often had support from opposition parties in parliament: the center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its regional sister party, the Bavarian Christian Social Union (CSU), as well as the socialist Left Party.

Only the AfD, the outsiders on the far right of Germany's political spectrum, have not supported any of the government's policies, and have therefore been able to present themselves as the only "true opposition." Nor have they ever had to prove that they can actually take responsibility and run any government — partly because all their political rivals have so far ruled out any alliances with them.

Political analyst Hillje believes the federal government is in part to blame for the rise of the AfD. The drawn-out squabbling over when and how to phase out fossil fuel heating systems fomented material insecurity, the political analyst told public TV, and eventually turned into a "stimulus program for right-wing populists."

But many also blame the conservative CDU/CSU bloc for the AfD's success. Some analysts have said CDU chairman Friedrich Merz has been echoing far-right rhetoric by taking a populist line on refugees, LGBTQ rights, and climate protection. To many, this is a blatant bid to win back voters from the AfD, but they also warn that this will backfire, as voters generally prefer to vote for the original rather than the imitation.

Following Trump's playbook

Germany is currently experiencing a development that reminds observers of the United States: There, despite many lies and scandals, former President Donald Trump remains a defining political force.

Like Trump in the US, the AfD in Germany portrays itself as the sole alternative to the political establishment and as the voice of the people suppressed by the government in Berlin and the mainstream media.

German intelligence classifies AfD youth wing as 'extremist'

In Germany, various agencies warned against the AfD's links to anti-constitutional organizations and its increasingly influential extremist nationalist wing, which denies minorities their place in society. The AfD's political opponents, business organizations the Central Council of Jews, and Muslim associations see the AfD as a threat to democracy.

Following its election success in Thuringia, the AfD has also received open support from the neo-Nazi camp. Prominent far-right activist Michael BrĂŒck congratulated the party on his Telegram channel, before making a dark warning to the newly elected AfD district leader: "There can be no false leniency in the necessary cleanup of the administration."

This article was originally written in German.

It has been re-edited for clarity since it was first published.

While you're here: Every Tuesday, DW editors round up what is happening in German politics and society. You can sign up here for the weekly email newsletter Berlin Briefing.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 26, 2023 at 10:40PM
https://ift.tt/CSI7s3b

Germany: Far-right AfD victory prompts political earthquake - DW (English)
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/w68HR4E
https://ift.tt/PQMmcnt

"Colossal political miscalculation": Potential witness rips "spineless" Republicans defending Trump - Salon

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

A prominent former conservative federal judge appointed by President George H.W. Bush slammed Republicans who are still staunchly backing former President Donald Trump after he was indicted by a federal grand jury.

Michael Luttig, a former judge on the 4th U.S. Court of Appeals, wrote a Sunday opinion piece for The New York Times titled "It's Not Too Late for the Republican Party," haranguing members of his party that continue to demonstrate "spineless support" for the twice-indicted Trump.

"The former president's behavior may have invited charges, but the Republicans' spineless support for the past two years convinced Mr. Trump of his political immortality, giving him the assurance that he could purloin some of the nation's most sensitive national security secrets upon leaving the White House — and preposterously insist that they were his to do with as he wished — all without facing political consequences," Luttig wrote. 

Luttig opined that the conservative party's best hope was to divorce itself from all affiliations with Trump and cease emboldening and validating the ex-president and his antics.

"Indeed, their fawning support since the Jan. 6 insurrection at the Capitol has given Mr. Trump every reason to believe that he can ride these charges and any others not just to the Republican nomination, but also to the White House in 2024," Luttig argued. 

"In a word, the Republicans are as responsible as Mr. Trump for this month's indictment — and will be as responsible for any indictment and prosecution of him for Jan. 6," he continued. 


Want a daily wrap-up of all the news and commentary Salon has to offer? Subscribe to our morning newsletter, Crash Course.


Luttig asserted that endorsing Trump for the 2024 presidential election would be a "colossal political miscalculation."

"The stewards of the Republican Party have become so inured to their putative leader, they have managed to convince themselves that an indicted and perhaps even convicted Donald Trump is their party's best hope for the future," Luttig stated. 

"If the indictment of Mr. Trump on Espionage Act charges — not to mention his now almost certain indictment for conspiring to obstruct Congress from certifying Mr. Biden as the president on Jan. 6 — fails to shake the Republican Party from its moribund political senses, then it is beyond saving itself. Nor ought it be saved," he added. 

Legal experts say Luttig, who testified before the House Jan. 6 committee about his role as an informal advisor to former Vice President Mike Pence at the time of the deadly Capitol insurrection, may be a potential witness in the government's investigation of Trump's actions on Jan. 6.

"Luttig advised Pence about his authority to prevent certification of the electoral college vote. Seems like that would make him a witness & we've not seen any litigation over privilege issues, so, very likely he's spoken with prosecutors. That makes this an interesting take," tweeted former U.S. Attorney Joyce Vance.

"I wouldn't be surprised if Judge Luttig was interviewed by Jack Smith's team as a potential witness," added former federal prosecutor Renato Mariotti.

"Although his conversations with Pence could be protected by privilege, that appears to have been waived," he added. "Accordingly, Luttig may know more than we do about Smith's intentions."

Read more

about Trump's legal woes

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 26, 2023 at 10:59PM
https://ift.tt/wqNs1gp

"Colossal political miscalculation": Potential witness rips "spineless" Republicans defending Trump - Salon
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/w68HR4E
https://ift.tt/PQMmcnt

Biden Distances US From Russian Rebellion - CNN Political Briefing - Podcast on CNN Audio - CNN

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com
Biden Distances US From Russian Rebellion - CNN Political Briefing - Podcast on CNN Audio

podcast

The political news you need to know, in 10 minutes or less. CNN Political Director David Chalian shares the latest insider analysis so you can make sense of the headlines.

Back to episodes list

CNN Sans ™ & © 2016 Cable News Network.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 27, 2023 at 04:16AM
https://ift.tt/R5OLKH7

Biden Distances US From Russian Rebellion - CNN Political Briefing - Podcast on CNN Audio - CNN
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/I607GFe
https://ift.tt/DZRc9zH

Sunday, June 25, 2023

Trump quietly changes political fundraising site to funnel funds toward legal woes - The Independent

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

Former President Donald Trump is diverting more donations from political supporters to fund his mounting legal costs as multiple court cases put an increased strain on his resources.

Disclosure text on the Trump presidential campaign’s WinRed digital fundraising platform now specifies that 10 per cent of political contributions will go to his legal battles via the Save America PAC.

The other 90 per cent will be used for political campaigning to try to return him to the White House for a second term.

The former president previously took 1 per cent for his legal troubles from political donations.

Mr Trump’s legal issues include his 37-count criminal indictment including violations of the Espionage Act and a sexual abuse civil lawsuit which was recently won by the writer, E Jean Carroll.

The change, first reported by The New York Times, appears to have been made in February or March of 2023, according to archival footage reviewed by the newspaper.

The cost of Mr Trump’s court battles can be seen in Save America PAC’s legal expenditures, which according to the Federal Election Commission (FEC), have ballooned from $1.9million to $14.6m in 2022.

A Trump campaign spokesman declined to comment to the Times on the former president’s legal bills or whether his supporters understood where their donations were going.

The spokesman said that the Save America PAC owns a sizable email list from Trump election campaigns in 2016 and 2020, valuable data that the Trump 2024 bid is essentially leasing from the PAC.

“Because the campaign wants to ensure every dollar donated to President Trump is spent in the most cost-effective manner, a fair-market analysis was conducted to determine email list rentals would be more efficient by amending the fund-raising split between the two entities,” Trump representative Steven Cheung told The Independent.

“This saves money in the long term and is a clear contrast to what Always Back Down has done, which is frivolously waste money in an unethical manner,” he added, a reference to the Never Back Down PAC run by Mr Trump’s primary opponent, Ron DeSantis.

Several members of Mr Trump’s legal team have departed in recent days following his second criminal indictment with little explanation.

Even with an increasing amount of donations being siphoned off for mounting legal expenses, Mr Trump is not expected to face a money crunch any time soon.

Mr Trump remains the frontrunner for the 2024 GOP nomination, and last week, his campaign boasted that it had raised $7m from supporters since news broke of his indictment for allegedly mishandling government secrets.

With the campaign’s new fundraising split, that would mean around $700,000 that could be put towards his legal defence if donations were made through WinRed.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 26, 2023 at 01:50AM
https://ift.tt/5BOWK0H

Trump quietly changes political fundraising site to funnel funds toward legal woes - The Independent
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/I607GFe
https://ift.tt/DZRc9zH

Biden vs. Trump: The 2024 race a historic number of Americans dont want - CNN

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com
CNN  — 

The 2024 presidential primaries are in full swing. President Joe Biden is the overhelming favorite for the Democratic nomination. Former President Donald Trump remains the clear front-runner for the Republican nod.

This puts a lot of Americans in a position they don’t want to be in: A historically large share of them do not like either man at this point.

A CNN/SSRS poll from earlier this month found that more Americans viewed neither Biden nor Trump favorably than those who held favorable views of either man. A plurality (36%) viewed neither candidate favorably, while 33% had a favorable view of Trump and 32% for Biden. Constraining ourselves to registered voters, 31% viewed neither Biden nor Trump favorably.

When you zoom in on those who were unfavorably inclined toward Biden and Trump (i.e., putting aside those who were unsure or were neutral), 22% of adults and 21% of registered voters had an unfavorable view of both men.

To put that in perspective, consider the end of the 2016 presidential election. That race (between Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton) is the benchmark election for candidate unlikability. It is the only one on record in which both candidates were disliked by more Americans than liked on Election Day.

The final pre-election CNN poll of that campaign found that 16% of registered voters held an unfavorable view of both Trump and Clinton. When you add in those who were neutral or didn’t have an opinion, 19% viewed neither nominee favorably.

If the numbers we’re seeing now in CNN polling continue through the election, more Americans will dislike both major party nominees for president than ever before.

The likability norm

Usually, most Americans like at least one of the candidates running for president. That has been the norm for most of polling history.

Just 5% of voters said they had an unfavorable view of both Biden and Trump in the final 2020 CNN poll. An even smaller 3% of voters said they had an unfavorable view of Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney in the final CNN poll of the 2012 campaign.

It’s worth noting, of course, that we’re still well more than a year out from the 2024 election. Things can change.

But frequently, they change for the worse as more negative ads fly.

When you examine the polling at this point in the 2016 campaign, the current 2024 polling is even more ahistorical.

While Trump’s favorable rating among registered voters this month nearly equaled his favorable rating in CNN’s July 2015 poll (34%), Clinton’s stood at 44% in the 2015 survey. Her unfavorable rating was 49%. Biden’s favorable rating in CNN’s latest poll was 32% among adults and 35% among registered voters. His unfavorable figure was 56% among both groups.

Neither Trump nor Biden are anywhere near positive territory this cycle, and we’re not talking about one outlier poll.

The average of all polling so far indicates that both men have favorable ratings below 40% with unfavorable ratings into the mid-50s.

CNN’s May poll showed that 23% of voters didn’t hold a favorable view of either candidate. In each of Quinnipiac University’s last three polls among registered voters, somewhere between 22% and 28% of the electorate viewed neither candidate favorably. The average was 24%.

The closest anyone came to having a favorable rating above an unfavorable rating was Biden in Quinnipiac’s June poll. His favorable rating was 42% to an unfavorable rating of 54%.

So what happens if Biden and Trump continue to be this unpopular? Maybe primary voters decide they want to nominate someone else for president. But Biden doesn’t have a primary competitor with a favorable rating as close to his among Democrats. Trump’s most formidable challenger at this point, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, also has a net unfavorable rating among the general electorate.

If Biden and Trump make it to the general election with such low ratings, it could open the door for a third-party candidate. Ross Perot’s 1992 independent bid for the White House got major tailwinds early in that election cycle because both Democratic challenger Bill Clinton and Republican incumbent George H.W. Bush had low favorable ratings.

(Bill Clinton’s favorable rating in 1992 improved after winning his party nomination.)

Likewise, Hillary Clinton and Trump’s low favorable ratings in 2016 allowed the cumulative share of the vote outside the two major parties to eclipse 5% for the only time in the past 25 years.

The bottom line is that there may be repercussions if both parties put up such unpopular nominees. A number of voters may be unwilling to settle for a major-party candidate they dislike.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 25, 2023 at 09:00PM
https://ift.tt/lDajpC3

Biden vs. Trump: The 2024 race a historic number of Americans don’t want - CNN
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/I607GFe
https://ift.tt/DZRc9zH

'We need to check politics at the door:' Central Florida educator talks superintendent turnover - WKMG News 6 & ClickOrlando

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

ORLANDO, Fla. – Whether choosing to resign or being ousted by newly-elected school boards, superintendent turnover continues to grow among Florida school districts.

After three years of leading Volusia County Schools, Scott Fritz was terminated by the school board last year in a 3-to-2 vote.

Fritz, who’s now the CEO of Early Learning Coalition of Orange County, joined anchor Justin Warmoth on “The Weekly” to talk about what he believes is happening in districts across the state.

[TRENDING: Become a News 6 Insider]

“I think we need to check politics at the door,” he said. “I was reading that 61 out of 67 superintendents have been replaced over the last three years for one reason or another. Clearly something’s not working.”

Fritz also discussed the importance of making sure children are kindergarten-ready and why it’s crucial for their overall success later in life.

Watch the full interview in the video player above.

You can listen to every episode of Florida’s Fourth Estate in the media player below:

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 25, 2023 at 07:10PM
https://ift.tt/HMa6Bir

'We need to check politics at the door:' Central Florida educator talks superintendent turnover - WKMG News 6 & ClickOrlando
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/Uu5AP4h
https://ift.tt/6yqJfek

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Trump courts evangelical voters at key 2024 GOP audition - CNN

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com
CNN  — 

Former President Donald Trump addressed evangelical Christian voters at a major gathering in Washington on Saturday, seeking to shore up their support as his legal troubles mount and rivals take aim at his character.

Trump told attendees at the Faith & Freedom Coalition’s Road to Majority Policy Conference that he believed there “remains a vital role” for the federal government in restricting abortion. But he did not specify what kind of federal legislation he would push for or support if he were president again.

Trump has repeatedly dodged the question of whether he would sign a federal abortion ban if it came to his desk, and, like many of his 2024 GOP rivals, he has struggled with how to navigate the politically fraught issue.

The Faith & Freedom conference kicked off a summer of “cattle calls” at which the GOP field will audition in front of key audiences ahead of the 2024 presidential primary. Most of Trump’s rivals spoke Friday, with several taking jabs, both direct and subtle, at the former president.

But Trump had the conference’s prime speaking spot, delivering what was billed as the keynote address. It was his first in-person appearance at a 2024 gathering of presidential hopefuls since announcing his candidacy. For previous events, such as Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst’s “Roast and Ride” earlier this month, Trump had appeared via video message.

The conference also provided a window into a critical constituency in the Republican nominating fight: evangelical voters. Those voters play an especially large role in the Iowa caucuses and South Carolina primary – the first and third contests on the 2024 GOP calendar.

Trump, speaking on the first anniversary of the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, touted his appointment of three of the justices who voted with the majority to eliminate federal abortion protections.

“Exactly one year ago today, those justices were the pivotal votes in the Supreme Court’s landmark decision ending the constitutional atrocity known as Roe v. Wade,” he said.

“With Roe v. Wade, you had none, you had no power,” Trump said. “We’ve now given pro-life people tremendous power to negotiate something that will be happy, that will be good for everybody.”

For Trump, who a CNN poll last week found remains the clear front-runner for the 2024 GOP nod with 47% support among Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide – well ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ 26% and former Vice President Mike Pence’s 9% – the most significant threat he currently faces could be a series of legal battles, including his federal indictment on charges tied to his alleged mishandling of classified documents.

Trump has made that indictment a focus of recent events, addressing it at length at rallies. In an interview with Fox News’ Bret Baier, he offered a multitude of new justifications for keeping classified material after leaving the White House and refusing to turn them over to the National Archives and Records Administration.

Defining their candidacies

For the rest of the field, the gathering Friday and Saturday represented an opportunity to chip away at Trump’s support – or at least define themselves in front of an important constituency in case GOP voters ultimately abandon the former president.

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who was also United Nations ambassador under Trump, used her speech Saturday to mark the first anniversary of the Dobbs decision, which overturned Roe v. Wade.

Haley said she believes there should be a federal law regulating abortion but acknowledged again that Republicans face a steep challenge in enacting hard-line nationwide restrictions because of a lack of support in Congress.

“We have to humanize this situation. We have to respect the fact that everybody has a story. And we have one goal – to make sure we save as many babies as possible and protect as many mothers as possible,” the former governor said.

Former Texas Rep. Will Hurd, who entered the GOP presidential race on Thursday, was a late addition to the speakers’ list. He centered his roughly five-minute remarks on his biography and his time working in the CIA, and, like Haley and many other GOP contenders who spoke at the conference, he didn’t mention Trump in front of the Trump-friendly crowd.

Hurd has been a vocal critic of Trump, calling the former president a threat to US national security in the wake of his federal indictment. Trump has pleaded not guilty to the federal charges.

The Trump-heavy lineup at the conference – with the former president in the keynote slot and a number of his allies, including former Arizona gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham and Florida Rep. Byron Donalds, on the speakers’ roster – underscores his dominance within the party.

Still, on Friday, several candidates used their speeches to take aim at the former president, in direct and more subtle ways.

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie focused on the importance of “character” and told the crowd Trump had “let us down.”

“Beware of a leader who never makes mistakes, beware of a leader who has no faults, beware of a leader who says when something goes wrong, it’s everybody else’s fault. And he goes and blames,” Christie said, in a clear reference to Trump.

As Christie criticized Trump, several audience members began loudly booing.

“You can boo all you want,” he told them.

Other Republican 2024 contenders either ignored Trump altogether or defended him. South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott criticized the Justice Department special counsel’s indictment of Trump.

“In this radical left Biden administration, they weaponize the Department of Justice against their political enemies. That is wrong. We deserve better in the United States of America,” Scott said.

A defining issue

Abortion could be a key issue in GOP debates beginning this summer. Trump has avoided being pinned down on whether he supports a federal ban on abortion rights and, if so, after how many weeks of pregnancy he would want such a ban to take effect.

The former president has also privately blamed abortion hard-liners for the party’s lackluster 2022 midterm results.

Pence pushed back on that contention Saturday at a virtual tele-rally organized by the anti-abortion group Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America.

“My former running mate has actually argued that overturning Roe v. Wade a year ago today cost us seats in the 2022 midterms,” he said. “Where women and men that were standing for office stood without apology for the right to life, expressed the principle and the compassion, didn’t shy away from it, and then also talked about all the other issues that we’re struggling with under the failed policies of the Biden administration, those candidates did very well.”

Pence also spoke Saturday at an anti-abortion rally at the Lincoln Memorial in Washington to mark the first anniversary of the Dobbs decision, saying the ruling “gave America a new beginning for life.”

On Friday, the former vice president applied pressure on Trump and others who have dodged the question of a national abortion ban, including Haley, calling on the GOP field to support a federal prohibition at 15 weeks.

“Every Republican candidate for president should support a ban on abortions before 15 weeks as a minimum nationwide standard,” Pence said.

Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, another Trump critic in the 2024 race, said Friday that he would sign a federal abortion ban but did not specify how many weeks into a pregnancy he would want such a prohibition to take effect.

DeSantis, Trump’s top-polling rival, made only brief mention Friday of the Florida measure he had signed banning most abortions in the state after six weeks. (The law is yet to take effect amid a separate ongoing legal challenge before the state Supreme Court.)

But the Florida governor leaned into other cultural clashes, touting his state as a “citadel of freedom.” He pointed to a state law banning certain instruction about sexual orientation and gender identity in the classroom and dug in on his feud with Disney, which DeSantis and GOP allies have targeted for retaliation since the company publicly opposed the law critics have dubbed “Don’t Say Gay.”

“We oppose the sexualization of children. We will do battle with anybody who seeks to rob our children of their innocence. And on those principles, there will be no compromise,” the governor said. “We will fight the woke corporations.”

This story and headline have been updated with additional information.

CNN’s Christian Sierra, Steve Contorno and Jessica Dean contributed to this report.

Adblock test (Why?)



"politic" - Google News
June 25, 2023 at 10:13AM
https://ift.tt/3WtuHJn

Trump courts evangelical voters at key 2024 GOP audition - CNN
"politic" - Google News
https://ift.tt/Uu5AP4h
https://ift.tt/6yqJfek

Search

Featured Post

Politics - The Boston Globe

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com Adblock test (Why?) "politic" - Google News February 01, 2024 at 03:47AM https://ift.tt...

Postingan Populer