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Tuesday, December 6, 2022

Sunburn — The morning read of what's hot in Florida politics — 12.6.22 - Florida Politics

unitedstatepolitics.blogspot.com

Good Tuesday morning.

Insurance is one of the hottest topics in Florida.

The Legislature next week is set to hold its second Special Session on property insurance this year, and tort reform groups are already gearing up for another assault on auto glass AOBs in the 2023 Legislative Session.

Before that, the Florida Chamber of Commerce is set to hold its annual Insurance Summit.

The event, as always, will draw in business leaders, public sector officials and subject matter experts for a series of panels and talks on all aspects of the sprawling industry.

The 2022 Insurance Summit kicks off Tuesday with an introduction from Florida Chamber President and CEO Mark Wilson followed by a discussion between state Insurance Commissioner David Altmaier and top-tier insurance lobbyist Tim Meenan.

Other big names on the agenda include Citizens Property Insurance Corp. President and CEO Barry Gilway, who will take part in a panel titled “A Million Reasons Why: An Update from Citizens Property Insurance” alongside other Citizens officials.

Later in the day, Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis will give attendees a “view from the plaza.” Other segments will cover reinsurance, Florida’s “litigation tsunami” and resiliency.

A full agenda is available on the Florida Chamber’s website.

___

Ashon Nesbitt will step in as CEO of the state’s top housing nonprofit at the start of the new year.

Nesbitt will take over the Florida Housing Coalition from retiring longtime President and CEO Jaimie Ross beginning Jan. 1. Nesbitt currently serves as the organization’s chief programs officer and technical adviser.

“It’s exciting to be a part of the Coalition’s next chapter, and I look forward to working with our talented Board and staff as we further build successful strategies and champion housing affordability best practices,” Nesbitt said in a statement Monday.

Ashon Nesbitt will start the new year with a high-profile gig.

The new CEO will take over at a time when rising home prices and an influx of new residents in post-pandemic Florida has worsened the affordable housing crunch across the Sunshine State.

“There is no doubt, we are in a housing affordability crisis in Florida,” Nesbitt said. “We need to work together closely with our statewide members and our Partners for Better Housing to implement strategies which will strengthen Florida’s affordable housing production and preservation.”

The Florida Housing Coalition Board unanimously chose Nesbitt after interviewing six candidates from a pool of 300 applicants after Ross, in June, announced her plan to retire.

“Speaking on behalf of our entire board, I could not be more pleased that Ashon will be the new head of the Coalition,” said Suzanne Cabrera, Chair of the Coalition Board. “His extensive experience in housing financing and development, his vision and professionalism and his championship of all our major initiatives make him the best choice.”

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

@MarcACaputo: 🚨GOP turnout worry in Georgia: Republican data gurus estimate (Raphael) Warnock leads by 9% points in total early votes So they think (Herschel) Walker will need to win 20% of the Election Day vote, provided turnout is 1 million Tues Note; these are their estimates & what they think*

@SteveSchale: I have a hard time believing that roasted peanuts have a 21+ edge on boiled peanuts in GA. This saddens me.

Tweet, tweet:

@LeonardKL: (Ron) DeSantis does a good deal of press conferences all over the state where press can ask questions on any topic. They’re also streamed live. Not every Gov. does this. It’s one of the main ways he generates national headlines.

@AGGancarski: Hey Jax leaders — don’t smile and laugh before the press conference talking about too much murder in the streets.

@Fineout: well maybe forget political news today … just keep looking at the transfer portal updates …

@AndreAgassi: Our dear friend, Nick Bollettieri, graduated from us last night. He gave so many a chance to live their dream. He showed us all how life can be lived to the fullest… Thank you, Nick

Tweet, tweet:

— DAYS UNTIL —

‘Avatar 2’ premieres — 10; Military Bowl with UCF Knights against Duke — 22; Cheez-It Bowl with FSU against Oklahoma — 23; final Broadway performance of ‘The Music Man’ with Hugh Jackman — 26; last day to ride Splash Mountain before remodeling — 47; The James Madison Institute’s Annual Dinner — 50; Bruce Springsteen launches 2023 tour in Tampa — 57; ‘Ant Man and the Wasp: Quantumania’ premieres — 73; final performance of ‘Phantom of the Opera’ on Broadway — 74; city of Tampa Municipal Election early voting begins — 83; ‘The Mandalorian’ returns — 85; Tampa Municipal Election — 91; 2023 Legislative Session convenes — 91; World Baseball Classic finals begin in Miami — 95; ‘John Wick: Chapter 4′ premieres — 108; Taylor Swift ‘Eras’ Tour in Tampa — 128; American Association of Political Consultants Pollies ’23 conference begins — 143; 2023 Session Sine Die — 150; ‘Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3’ premieres — 150; ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 178; Christopher Nolan’s ‘Oppenheimer’ premieres — 227; ‘‘Captain Marvel 2′ premieres — 234; Dune: Part Two’ premieres — 332; ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse’ Part 2 premieres — 479; ‘Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes’ premieres — 535; Opening Ceremony of the 2024 Olympic Games — 598; ‘Thunderbolts’ premieres — 598; ‘Blade’ reboot premieres — 640; ‘Deadpool 3’ premieres — 703; ‘Fantastic Four’ reboot premieres — 801; ‘Avengers: The Kang Dynasty’ premieres — 878. ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 1,067.

— TOP STORY —

Ex-U.S. Rep. David Rivera arrested in Venezuela probe” via Joshua Goodman and Terry Spencer of The Associated Press — A former Miami Congressman who signed a $50 million consulting contract with Venezuela’s socialist government was arrested in connection with an ongoing federal criminal investigation, law enforcement officials told The Associated Press.

Rivera, a Republican who served from 2011 to 2013, was arrested at Atlanta’s airport, said Marlene Rodriguez, a spokesperson for the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Miami. A Miami grand jury indicted Rivera last month.

The feds finally caught up to David Rivera’s schemes.

Pressure has been building on Rivera for more than two years after it emerged that he received the massive contract from a U.S. affiliate of Venezuela’s state-owned oil company as President Nicolás Maduro was trying to curry favor with the White House in the early days of the Donald Trump administration.

Rivera’s Interamerican Consulting was sued in 2020 by PDV USA — a Delaware-based affiliate of Venezuelan-owned Citgo — alleging the former Congressman performed no work as part of the contract he signed in 2017 for three months of “strategic consulting” meant to build bridges with key U.S. stakeholders.

Rivera has maintained his innocence and has countersued PDV USA alleging breach of contract and unjust enrichment for its failure to pay $30 million he says he is still owed.

The U.S. Marshals Service said Rivera bailed out of jail Monday afternoon after making an initial appearance in Atlanta federal court. His attorney, Jeffrey Feldman, declined to comment, telling The Associated Press in a text message that he had “not seen the indictment.”

— DESANTISY LAND —

Ron DeSantis among TIME’s 2022 Person of the Year finalists” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — DeSantis is among the finalists for TIME’s “2022 Person of the Year” honors. TIME revealed its shortlist, which its editors whittled down to a list of 10 based on who they believe had the most influence on the world this year. Also in contention are all nine members of the U.S. Supreme Court, protesters in Iran and American gun safety advocates. DeSantis’ popularity among stalwart conservatives and Republican converts has soared over the last couple of years, extending far beyond the Sunshine State’s borders and establishing him as the biggest threat to Trump’s position as the face of the GOP.

Ron DeSantis — man of the year?

—“New poll shows Utah Republicans prefer DeSantis to Donald Trump” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

DeSantis to offer VIP access to his inauguration — for between $50K to $1 million” via Gary Fineout of POLITICO — DeSantis’s inauguration celebration is expected to be spread out over two days and will give up-close access to donors willing to contribute between $50,000 and $1 million. Five donors who give $1 million to the Republican Party of Florida will be recognized as “inaugural chair” sponsors who will receive tickets to a candlelight dinner the night before the inauguration, VIP seating at the inauguration ceremony held on the steps of the Old Capitol as well tickets to the inaugural ball and a “Toast to One Million Mamas,” the campaign group put together by First Lady Casey DeSantis, and a photo opportunity with the Governor.

DeSantis announces $25M for Hurricane Ian home rebuilding, recovery” via Gray Rohrer of Florida Politics — Southwest Florida residents who saw their homes destroyed or made uninhabitable by Hurricane Ian will be getting a $25 million boost, DeSantis said. The money will come from state funds for buying building materials, sheetrock, studs, doors, drywall and other materials, and given to nonprofits to distribute to local residents displaced by the storm. The material will get storm victims’ houses in livable condition while permanent repairs are made. The move comes after the state launched a website to help displaced residents get temporary housing.

Dane Eagle flies from DEO just ahead of lobbying ban extension” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO) Secretary Eagle resigned as head of the state agency. In a resignation letter to DeSantis, he thanked Florida’s chief executive for the opportunity to head the Department of Economic Opportunity at a critical juncture in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. “When I joined your administration in September 2020, the state’s unemployment rate was 8.7%, which was quickly rebounding from the 13.9% rate a few months earlier due to the global pandemic,” Eagle said.


— STATEWIDE —

Terry Rhodes out as FLHSMV Executive Director” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics — Rhodes is stepping down as Executive Director of the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles (FLHSMV) ahead of DeSantis’ second term. The Republican Governor announced Rhodes’ departure, which comes after nearly eight years as FLHSMV’s Executive Director. He made the announcement in a statement posted to Twitter Monday morning. “Her dedicated leadership and commitment to public service have made our roads safer for our state troopers and motorists who travel on them each day,” DeSantis said. “We wish her fair winds and following seas.”

After nearly eight years, Terry Rhodes is making her exit from the FLHSMV.

Florida consultant on Demotech alternatives faced issues in other states” via William Rabb of Insurance Journal — A Mississippi-based consulting firm hired to figure out Florida’s insurance company financial rating conundrum has faced scrutiny in other states after audits found improper disbursement of funds, long delays in projects and other issues. Horne LLP, based in Ridgeland, Mississippi, was hired in Florida after submitting a bid to manage a Department of Financial Services study on alternatives to the current carrier ratings system. The ratings issue arose earlier this year after the Demotech rating firm announced that it was on the cusp of downgrading or withdrawing the ratings for as many as 16 insurers.

James Madison Institute property insurance paper targets attorney fees ahead of Special Session” via Gray Rohrer of Florida Politics — With the Legislature poised to return to the Capitol on Dec. 12 for a Special Session to pass changes to the state’s property insurance laws amid a free-falling market, Tallahassee-based conservative think tank James Madison Institute released a paper outlining steps to solve the issue. Step one: Eliminate Florida’s one-way attorney fee law. “In order to restore sanity and predictability to the state’s insurance system, one-way attorney fee laws must be repealed and insurance litigants should have to follow the common-law American rule — that parties bear their own litigation costs, the rule applicable in most states and for most types of litigation,” Christian Camara, a senior fellow at the institute, wrote in the paper.

The Legislature just let Target dodge $15 million in corporate taxes” via Jason Garcia of Seeking Rents — Target turned a profit of nearly $7 billion last year. But when it comes time to pay Florida taxes on that profit, Target Corporation pretends to be a collection of smaller companies. By splitting itself into separate pieces, Target avoided at least $15 million in Florida corporate taxes since 2013. That’s according to a lawsuit Target just won against the Florida Department of Revenue, which had accused the Minneapolis-based company of illegally dodging taxes. Target was able to avoid these taxes by taking advantage of an old and outdated part of Florida’s corporate tax code that lets giant corporations pay taxes as if their wholly owned subsidiaries were separate and independent businesses.

Freshman Senators to lead major panels as committee assignments handed out” via Gray Rohrer of Florida Politics — One of Corey Simon’s first tasks as a new member of the Legislature is to serve as one of the top drafters of education policy in the state’s K-12 schools. He’s one of several new faces in the Senate given big jobs by Senate President Passidomo, a Naples Republican, when she unveiled committee assignments for members. Sen. Clay Yarborough, a Jacksonville Republican, was placed as Chair of the Judiciary Committee. Sen. Jonathan Martin is now Chair of the Criminal Justice Committee. Several other GOP Senate newcomers were put in charge of major policy areas in the upper chamber, such as Bryan Ávila (Governmental Oversight and Accountability), Colleen Burton (Health Policy), Alexis Calatayud (Community Affairs), Jay Collins (Agriculture), Nick DiCeglie (Transportation), Erin Grall (Postsecondary Education), Blaise Ingoglia (Finance and Tax) and Jay Trumbull (Commerce and Tourism).

Corey Simon gets his first high-profile role in the Florida Senate.

Senate President Kathleen Passidomo shows some bipartisanship” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Passidomo has selected committee Chairs for the next two years, and like her predecessor, she named several Democrats to leadership roles in a show of bipartisanship. But unlike Wilton Simpson before her, she did not name any Democrats to full Chair positions, giving only Democratic Sen. Jason Pizzo an alternate Chair role on the Joint Legislative Auditing Committee. He’ll have to cede that job to Republican Rep. Mike Caruso after a year.

Brevard’s legislative delegation to seek input from constituents” via Dave Berman of Florida Today — The seven-member Brevard County delegation to the Legislature will hold its annual meeting on Jan. 11 in advance of the 2023 Legislative Session. The meeting will be from 5:30 to 9:30 p.m. in the Brevard County Commission Chambers at the Government Center, 2725 Judge Fran Jamieson Way, Building C, Viera. This meeting will give government entities, businesses, organizations and residents of Brevard County a chance to share with the all-Republican delegation issues that are important to them for the upcoming Legislative Session. Topics likely to come up include everything from educational policies to rising homeowners’ insurance costs.

Lobbying compensation: Colodny Fass lands $310K in Q3” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — The lobbying team at Colodny Fass collected $310,000 in the third quarter of 2022, new compensation reports show. The reporting period saw the firm take in $150,000 lobbying the Legislature and another $160,000 lobbying the Governor and Cabinet. Colodny Fass’ legislative compensation report shows 20 clients topped by one that paid $35,000 during the July-through-September reporting period: Florida Property & Casualty Association.

Lobbying compensation: Johnson & Blanton rakes in $1.2M in Q3” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — Led by Jon Johnson and Travis Blanton, the firm’s Q3 team also included lobbyists Diane Wagner Carr, Darrick McGhee and Eric Prutsman. The firm also recently added Marnie George to its team. Johnson & Blanton’s legislative compensation report shows 85 clients topped by one that paid $45,000 during the July-through-September reporting period: Multitype Library Cooperatives. Two others came in at $35,000, Advent Health and the Florida Hospital Association. Two other clients paid $25,000, including BayCare and the Florida Engineering Society. Several others spent $15,000 each on services. Health care and related areas are the top-represented industry on Johnson & Blanton’s client roster.

Johnson & Blanton
Johnson & Blanton posts a solid Q3.

Presidents from nearly 40 Florida universities to gather for ‘first-of-its-kind’ meeting” via Tarah Jean of the Tallahassee Democrat — Nearly 40 college and university presidents from across the state of Florida will all gather in one room Wednesday — hosted by Tallahassee Community College — for a meeting behind closed doors. Presidents from both the Florida College System and the State University System of Florida are invited to the private meeting to discuss systemwide educational goals and to share their best practices with each other, according to the Florida Department of Education’s spokesperson. Although the event will be closed to the public, TCC President Jim Murdaugh announced during a Board of Trustees meeting on Nov. 21 that the college’s Center for Innovation on West Pensacola Street will be the host location for the private gathering.

Legal question: Are police officers victims when they shoot someone in line of duty?” via Fresh Take Florida — The Florida Supreme Court will consider arguments in a case that considers whether the identities of police officers who kill civilians in violent encounters can be withheld from the public. Law enforcement is one of the only civilian professions in which the use of deadly force is authorized. The court is considering whether a Florida constitutional provision considers officers who use deadly force to be victims of imminent threats of harm and therefore protected under Marsy’s Law, preventing their identities from being made public.

— D.C. MATTERS —

Joe Biden is staffing up for GOP probes even while downplaying risks” via Jordan Fabian and Erik Wasson of Bloomberg — Biden faces an ugly new reality next year as Republicans threaten a torrent of investigations into his administration and family that could change his presidency and test his resolve. The White House is bracing for the onslaught by ramping up the team that will handle the probes, including bringing on a key staffer from a powerful congressional committee: Russell Anello, the current House Oversight Committee staff director, who has experience dealing with GOP lawmakers eager to investigate Biden.

Joe Biden is girding his loins for an onslaught to come.

DHS delays REAL ID compliance to 2025” via Oriana Pawlyk of POLITICO — The Department of Homeland Security has again postponed its planned rollout of the Real ID-compliant licenses required for air travelers 18 and over boarding flights in the United States, a nod to concerns that not enough Americans have compliant forms of identification. Citing lingering COVID-19 backlogs, DHS announced Monday that May 7, 2025, will be the new compliance date. The agency has postponed the deadline several times due to the pandemic, with the most recent deadline being May 3, 2023.

Fearing scandal, Air Force blocked Generals’ foreign consulting deals” via Craig Whitlock and Nate Jones of The Washington Post — Two U.S. Air Force generals, Duncan McNabb and William Fraser III, who oversaw the supply routes from 2008 to 2014 later tried to cash in on their Azerbaijan connections. Upon retiring from active duty, the four-star generals negotiated valuable consulting deals with Silk Way Airlines. One of them stood to earn $5,000 a day. The Pentagon and State Department normally rubber-stamp requests from retired U.S. military personnel to work for foreign powers or companies controlled by foreign governments. When the Air Force learned about McNabb’s and Fraser’s business ventures in Azerbaijan, officials flagged them as a potential embarrassment and a risk to national security.

Justices spar in latest clash of religion and gay rights” via The Associated Press — The Supreme Court’s conservative majority sounded sympathetic Monday to a Christian graphic artist who objects to designing wedding websites for gay couples, a dispute that’s the latest clash of religion and gay rights to land at the highest court. The designer and her supporters say that ruling against her would force artists to do work that is against their beliefs. Her opponents, meanwhile, say that if she wins, a range of businesses will be able to discriminate, refusing to serve Black customers, Jewish or Muslim people, interracial or interfaith couples or immigrants, among others.

— EPILOGUE TRUMP —

Senate GOP leaders turn on Trump over suspend-the-Constitution talk” via Burgess Everett and Marianne Levine of POLITICO — Top Senate Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump in growing numbers after the former President’s call to suspend the Constitution — though there’s no sign it will lead them to actively oppose his 2024 presidential campaign. While few Republicans spoke out publicly before returning to Washington on Monday, Senate Minority Whip John Thune said “of course, I disagree with that” when asked about Trump’s comments. The No. 2 Senate Republican would not say whether he’d support Trump if the former President wins the GOP nomination in 2024 and said he’s “just not going to go there at this point — that’s a long way off.”

Donald Trump’s ‘suspend the Constitution’ talk is roiling congressional Republicans. Image via AP.

Trump insists he doesn’t want to ‘terminate’ Constitution” via Brett Samuels of The Hill — Trump on Monday insisted he does not want to “terminate” the Constitution, responding to broad backlash after he said over the weekend its rules and laws should be disregarded so he can return to the White House. Trump, in a pair of posts on Truth Social, responded to the fallout from his comments on Saturday that the 2020 election should be redone, or he should be put back in office. Trump has for years claimed the 2020 Election was stolen from him and that Hunter Biden colluded with his father over his business dealings, though there is no proof of either. But his calls for the Constitution to be ignored so he could be returned to power marked a new level of incendiary rhetoric.

Trump’s slow 2024 start worries allies” via Gabby Orr and Kristen Holmes of CNN — Back in 2015, Trump’s first campaign rally in Iowa as a contender for the Republican presidential nomination came just 10 hours after he declared his candidacy in New York. The following day, he was across the country in New Hampshire, with plans to visit South Carolina before the end of his first week. But seven years later — and nearly three weeks into his 2024 presidential campaign — Trump has yet to leave his home state or hold a public campaign event in an early-voting state. Trump’s disengaged posture has baffled former and current allies, many of whom experienced firsthand the frenetic pace of his two earlier White House bids, and who now say he’s missed the window to make a splash with his 2024 rollout.

Trump’s committee paying for lawyers of key Mar-a-Lago witnesses” via Devlin Barrett, Josh Dawsey and Isaac Stanley-Becker of The Washington Post — Trump’s political action committee is paying legal bills for some key witnesses involved in the Justice Department investigation into whether Trump mishandled classified documents, obstructed the investigation or destroyed government records. The witnesses include Kash Patel, who has testified in front of the grand jury and is key to Trump’s defense, along with Walt Nauta, a potentially critical prosecution witness.

— LOCAL: S. FL —

Miami-Dade School Board may lose member to new law on Dec. 31. DeSantis would name a sub” via Sommer Brugal of the Miami Herald — A law prohibiting elected officials from lobbying goes into effect at the end of the month and could result in one Miami-Dade County School Board member stepping down and DeSantis appointing a replacement. The constitutional Prohibition Against Lobbying by a Public Officer implements a constitutional amendment that voters approved in 2018, restricting lobbying during their term in office and extending the period that certain elected officials can lobby after leaving office from two to six years. Vice Chair Lubby Navarro, a registered lobbyist for the South Broward Hospital District, a public hospital, may have to relinquish her seat on the Board.

Lubby Navarro may have to give up her seat when new lobbying rules take effect.

Gregory Tony faces more scrutiny from ethics panel over lies, omissions on forms” via Lisa J. Huriash of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Broward Sheriff Tony must now decide whether to fight a decision by a state ethics panel — which for the second time in recent months agreed that further review is warranted to look into accusations he gave false information on official forms, his attorney said Monday. The Florida Commission on Ethics, with an 8-1 vote, found probable cause Friday to pursue a case into the Sheriff’s providing false information, or not disclosing information. The action came in a closed-door confidential hearing, the results of which are expected to be made public Wednesday. Louis Jean-Baptiste, the Sheriff’s attorney based in Tallahassee, said Monday that Tony has not decided yet on their next move.

Broward names new ethics watchdog to snuff out local corruption” via Lisa J. Huriash of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Broward officials — both elected ones and employees — who have been accused of everything from bid-rigging to campaign money mismanagement have a new ethics czar to deal with: A new Inspector General is taking over next year. Carol “Jodie” Breece, an attorney with the office since 2012 and a former prosecutor, will take over the office in May when John W. Scott, Broward’s first Inspector General since 2011, chose not to seek another term. The Inspector General charter item was approved by voters in November 2010. The Office of Inspector General, more commonly known as the OIG, is the Broward office charged with rooting out public mismanagement and corruption.

Feds indict former West Palm club owner on gambling, tax evasion and prostitution charges” via Julius Whigham II of the Palm Beach Post — The former owner of a West Palm Beach nightclub was indicted last week on federal charges alleging that among other crimes, he conspired with others to run an illegal sports gambling business, organized prostitution activities and evaded paying taxes. Dion De Cesare, the one-time owner of the Renegades restaurant and nightclub, also is accused of money laundering, according to an 18-count indictment announced Wednesday by the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Miami. If convicted, De Cesare faces up to 50 years in prison. The indictment alleges that from about April 2008 through November of this year, De Cesare and his front company, HERE LLC, used two other West Palm Beach-area nightclubs to provide prostitution to customers.

Renegades’ owner Dion De Cesare faces up to 50 years in prison for shady deals, including gambling and prostitution.

‘He is not a murderer’: Family’s clemency bid for dad’s convicted killer left to Dave Aronberg” via Jane Musgrave of the Palm Beach Post — For decades, Patti Kreusler Ceravolo has been haunted by her father’s 1976 murder, never believing that the right man was convicted and fearing the real killer was still on the loose. Enlisting the help of three of her five siblings, she amassed thousands of records that convinced her family that Mark Herman, a West Palm Beach karate instructor, shouldn’t have been found guilty of killing her father, Richard, a politically connected Palm Beach oil executive. The three sisters have compiled charts, written reports, and scoured the internet and the country for information, hoping to find out who and why someone wanted their father dead.

Feds give Brightline $20K to help keep its extended high-speed rail line safe in Florida” via David Lyons of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Brightline is receiving another $20,000 in federal money to help keep people alert to the dangers of its high-speed trains that will soon zip along the railroad’s new extension between West Palm Beach and Orlando. “The grant award dollars will be used for an online campaign,” spokesperson Ben Porritt said in an email. “The targeted digital ads will reach people that live within the ZIP codes directly adjacent to the corridor and people who may be interacting with the corridor daily.” Porritt said that outreach to the public through digital media “has been proven to connect with individuals in an impactful way because they are personalized and can reach people through platforms they already use.”

—“Brightline construction closing railroad crossings in Sebastian, Winter over next 10 days” via Thomas Weber of Treasure Coast Newspapers

— LOCAL: C. FL —

Hurricane center says mid-Atlantic system could form” via Richard Tribou of the Orlando Sentinel — The official Atlantic hurricane season ended last week, but a system in the mid-Atlantic didn’t get the memo. The National Hurricane Center said a large area of low pressure with disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 750 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands in the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean could grow into a subtropical depression or storm. “Environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics while it drifts northeastward during the next few days,” forecasters said in its 9 a.m. tropical outlook Monday. “By Thursday night or Friday, however, the low is expected to move over cooler waters, ending its chances of becoming a subtropical cyclone.”

Hurricane season may be technically over, but this tropical storm isn’t following the calendar.

—“Volusia County will finish debris collection Friday for Tropical Storm Ian” via Sheldon Gardner of The Daytona Beach News-Journal

Terms of Brevard Superintendent Mark Mullins’ departure to be hammered out” via Tyler Vazquez of Florida Today — Superintendent Mullins and the Brevard County school district will enter a mutual separation agreement on Monday, finalizing Mullin’s departure from BPS and completing one of the first actions taken by the new Board. A contentious election season marked by the unprecedented involvement of state and nationwide party politics in local School Board elections culminated in an ideological shift at the School Board and the decision last month to accept Mullins’ offer to end his term at the helm of Brevard Public Schools. Newly elected Board members along with new Chair Matt Susin debated Mullins’ future with the district at a November meeting before Mullins agreed to step down from his job.

Brevard deputy charged in accidental shooting death of Deputy Austin Walsh” via Eric Rogers of Florida Today — A Brevard County deputy was arrested following what Sheriff Wayne Ivey called the accidental shooting death of 23-year-old Deputy Walsh in Palm Bay over the weekend, Ivey said Sunday. Deputy Andrew Lawson was charged with manslaughter by the Florida Department of Law Enforcement following the incident, Ivey said, calling the shooting an “extremely dumb and totally avoidable accident” in a video news release. Ivey said Lawson and Walsh, who were roommates, were taking a break from playing video games in the early morning hours Saturday when Lawson “jokingly” pointed what he believed was an unloaded handgun at Walsh and pulled the trigger.

To watch Ivey’s statement on the shooting, please click on the image below:

Palm Coast lawyer suspended again for violating rules of initial suspension” via Frank Fernandez of The Daytona Beach News-Journal — A Palm Coast attorney was about to petition the Florida Bar to return from a one-year suspension for having sex with a client. But then he got into more trouble: Bradley Sherman violated more Florida Bar rules while serving his suspension and is now barred from practicing law for another 18 months, according to documents. The state Supreme Court found Sherman in contempt of its earlier order dealing with the initial discipline, suspended him again and ordered Sherman to pay the Florida Bar $1,250. Sherman said he was unaware of the Florida Bar rule prohibiting him from direct contact with clients and requiring notice to the bar if he worked for another law firm or lawyer during his suspension.

Judge rules against Apopka, decides City Center can have ‘workforce housing’” via Stephen Hudak of the Orlando Sentinel — Apopka hasn’t yet decided whether to appeal a ruling that would allow affordable-housing units in its long-awaited City Center, sometimes touted by leaders as the future crown jewel of Orange County’s second-largest city. The mixed-use development at the intersection of State Road 436 and U.S. Highway 441 was supposed to include luxury apartments, not “workforce housing.” A developer’s agreement for the project restricted multifamily housing to “non-subsidized, market rent” units. It required “all residential apartments and townhomes be developed as luxury or upscale rental or condominium dwellings,” according to court filings. The City Council then voted 3-2 in May against lifting the restriction.

— LOCAL: TB —

Tampa Police Chief resigns amid traffic stop scandal” via Florida Politics — Tampa Police Chief Mary O’Connor resigned Monday morning, Mayor Jane Castor announced, after O’Connor controversially appeared to use her position to get out of a traffic citation. In a tweet Monday morning, Castor said she “requested and received” O’Connor’s resignation. “Assistant Chief Lee Bercaw will serve as acting chief while a comprehensive national search is conducted,” Castor said. The resignation comes after the city launched an investigation into a traffic stop involving O’Connor and her husband in which she flashed her badge, identified herself as the Tampa Chief of Police and asked a Pinellas deputy to “just let us go,” which he did. Castor said the situation was “especially disappointing” because she “gave Mary O’Connor a second chance.”

Amid external investigation, HART CEO will stay put” via Olivia George of the Tampa Bay Times — The chief executive of Hillsborough County’s transit agency will continue at the helm while the agency faces an external investigation into allegations of a hostile work environment and the double-dipping of a top staffer. Chairperson of the Board of Directors and County Commissioner Pat Kemp introduced a motion to place Hillsborough Area Regional Transit Authority CEO Adelee Le Grand on paid administrative leave pending the outcome of the investigation at a board meeting Monday morning. Six board members voted for the motion, while six voted against it. The tiebreaker resulted in the motion failing, de facto leaving Le Grand in place.

Adelee Le Grand gets a reprieve.

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

Toxic red tide algae still thriving along southwest coast, mostly in Sarasota, Marco waters” via Chad Gillis of the Fort Myers News-Press — A ghostly red tide that’s lurked along the Southwest Florida shoreline for more than a month is showing signs of strengthening in the Sarasota and Marco Island areas. The latest Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission reports show red tide (Karenia brevis) counts of 1 million cells per liter and higher along Sarasota and Collier counties, with slightly lower but still toxic levels reported in Lee. Larry Brand, a University of Miami researcher and professor and red tide expert, said he expects the situation will play out like it did in 2017 and 2018, years that were dominated by a large hurricane flushing massive nutrients loads to the coast followed by a toxic red tide algae bloom.

Fort Myers Beach leaders promise ‘functional paradise’ within year; Ian 2nd biggest insured loss ever” via Phil Fernandez of the Fort Myers News-Press — Fort Myers Beach Vice-Mayor Jim Atterholt says even if they believe it, residents shouldn’t publicly mention that the town’s recovery may take five years because it’s bad for business. “I’m hearing some things around the island that give me great concern. I hear about this concept of, ‘It’s going to take five years to rebuild our island.’ I hear that ‘it’s going to take five to seven years.’ I hear that ‘it’s going to take five to 10 years to rebuild our island,’” Atterholt said. “For the people who keep talking about five years, seven years, I wish they’d knock it off.”

Jim Atterholt says to knock off the talk about a ‘five-year’ recovery for Fort Myers Beach.

Lee County collects enough Hurricane Ian debris to fill Hertz Arena 10 times” via Samantha Neely of the Fort Myers News-Press — Lee County has collected more than 4 million cubic yards of hurricane debris, enough to fill Hertz Arena about 10 times. Since Sept. 28, crews have worked to clear debris from more than 3,500 miles of Lee County roads. Officials equated that distance to a trip from Fort Myers to Minneapolis and back. “Specialized debris trucks working continuously in unincorporated Lee County collect more than 60,000 cubic yards of roadside debris each day and move roughly 20,000 cubic yards from debris management sites to final disposal,” Lee County officials said in a news release.

Nearly two months after Hurricane Ian, Naples attraction inches toward full reopening” via Louis Llovio of Business Observer Florida — More than two months after catastrophic flooding from Hurricane Ian nearly destroyed Tin City in Naples, the tourist and shopping destination is about ready to fully reopen. Several shops are already doing business and dozens of others are restocking and finishing buildouts after much of the three-building complex saw 3 feet of water and mud. Work is progressing so well, in fact, that property manager Craig Ekonomos is expecting everything to be up and running by Dec. 15. “When you give everybody a date when I say Dec. 15 it kind of lights a fire,” says Ekonomos.

Hertz agrees to pay $168M to settle false arrest claims by hundreds of customers” via Laura Layden of the Fort Myers News-Press — Hertz will pay nearly $170 million to settle hundreds of false theft claims involving its customers. The Estero-based rental giant announced the news early Monday. In a news release, Hertz said it had settled 364 claims, “bringing resolution to more than 95%” of the total disputes. Aggrieved customers accused the company of wrongful theft arrests for cars they legally rented. Some customers claim they got pulled over, arrested and prosecuted for stealing cars because Hertz couldn’t locate its own vehicles after they got returned. Others have complained of various other mix-ups with their rental returns, extensions or payments. Hertz will pay about $168 million by year-end to resolve the majority of pending claims.

Superintendent separation terms expected; Sarasota teachers overwhelmingly support Brennan Asplen” via Steven Walker of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — The Sarasota County School Board and Superintendent Asplen are expected to finalize separation terms soon, in preparation for the next School Board meeting on Dec. 13. By law, a notice for a meeting must be published one week ahead of time with an agenda attached, meaning the agenda for the Dec. 13 meeting must be published by Tuesday. If the Superintendent’s contract or separation agreement were to be voted on or discussed at that meeting, it would need to be filed in that agenda. Separation negotiations come as the School Board voted to authorize them at a meeting on Nov. 29, despite more than two hours of public comment largely in support of Asplen.

Manatee Commissioner George Kruse accused of DUI crash asks court to throw out bodycam video” via Jessica De Leon of the Bradenton Herald — Manatee County Commissioner Kruse is looking to get statements he made immediately after his April 20 suspected DUI crash — recorded on a Sheriff’s Office lieutenant’s body camera footage — thrown out of the criminal case against him. Kruse crashed his Ford F-150 pickup truck head-on into a tree just inside his subdivision that evening. By the time an off-duty Manatee County Sheriff’s lieutenant working a detail in the community arrived, Kruse was sitting in the back seat of his wife’s SUV. Earlier in the evening, the couple had gone to the Parrish home of local real estate developer Carlos Beruff, founder of Medallion Home and the developer behind Aqua by the Bay, to meet political consultant Anthony Pedicini.

George Kruse would sure like to erase the bodycam video of his DUI.

What’s holding up expansion of Salvation Army homeless shelter? Bradenton is reviewing” via Ryan Callihan of the Bradenton Herald — Plans to expand shelter capacity at Bradenton’s Salvation Army headquarters are on hold following a City Council decision to review policies. In September, city leaders approved a “zoning in progress” period that temporarily blocks certain types of businesses, including homeless shelters, from expansion. Salvation Army leaders criticized the move, which stalls an effort to provide additional shelter for homeless people. The organization asked Bradenton for permission to remodel a storage building at 1204 14th St. W. into a shelter that would offer temporary housing for up to 24 women a night. The request was denied while the city updates its zoning laws, according to Planning and Community Development Director Robin Singer. That doesn’t sit well with the Salvation Army.

— LOCAL: N. FL —

—“DeSantis orders flags at half-staff for NAS Pensacola shooting remembrance” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics

Former Jacksonville Beach City Attorney banned from practicing law for five years after guilty plea in child abuse” via Tomas Rodriguez of the Fort Myers News-Press — A former Jacksonville Beach city attorney has had his license to practice revoked, after pleading guilty in a child abuse case in Duval County. Christopher Ambrosio pleaded guilty in September to one count of child abuse, according to the Florida Supreme Court. According to the Florida Times-Union, Ambrosio resigned weeks after his March 24, 2021, arrest on charges of lewd and lascivious molestation of a victim 12 to 16 years old and contributing to the delinquency of a child.

TPD announces 2nd arrest in FAMU shooting; social media comments cited as motive” via Christopher Cann of the Tallahassee Democrat — The deadly mass shooting on the campus of Florida A&M University that injured four people and killed an innocent bystander stemmed from social media comments, police said. News of the gunman’s motive comes as the Tallahassee Police Department announced that a second Tallahassee man has been arrested in connection with the shooting at the basketball courts just outside the FAMU Hansel Tookes Student Recreation Center. Chedderick Thomas, 21, faces one count of first-degree homicide and four counts of attempted homicide. Last week, Da’Vhon Young Jr., 21, was arrested on the same charges.

A second person was arrested in connection with the deadly mass shooting on the FAMU campus.

—“Escambia and Santa Rosa delegations to talk 2023 priorities ahead of Legislative Session” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal

Escambia County jail lawsuit: Sanctions floated after county ignores discovery request” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — Attorneys standing for the construction company suing Escambia County for not paying the final $3.4 million to build the new county jail are asking a judge to sanction the county for ignoring discovery and deposition requests in the ongoing lawsuit. The requests go as far as asking the county to explain why an assistant county administrator should not be held in contempt of court for allegedly ignoring a subpoena. Whitesell-Green/Caddell sued the county in January, alleging the county still owes the company $3.4 million for the construction of the $132 million jail building completed in 2021.

Cox files protest over Escambia County’s selection of EREC for broadband network” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — Cox Communications has filed a formal protest over Escambia County’s decision to select the Escambia River Electric Cooperative for a rural broadband project. In a letter sent to the county’s purchasing manager on Wednesday, attorneys for Cox argued the county deviated from its selection process outlined in its request for proposal (RFP) for the construction of a fiber optic internet network in unserved areas of the county, and the decision to select EREC violated the county’s purchasing policies. Cox also argued the county was supposed to notify all interested parties of any substantial or procedural changes to the selection process.

Power lines, business headed up at JAXPORT” via Wes Wolfe of Florida Politics — It was a day of note for JAXPORT as the money came in to facilitate a long-discussed raising of power lines over the St. Johns River. The initial million dollars arrives in fiscal year 2023, with more than $16 million on the way in 2024, followed by $4 million in 2025 and $1.5 million in 2026. The public transportation grant is half-funded by the Florida Department of Transportation and half-funded by JAXPORT on a match-funding basis. Once completed, the lines will move from 175 feet above the high tide line to 225 feet.

Tallahassee docs: Forget the pen and paper. There’s an app for new patient paperwork.” via Christine Jordan Sexton of Florida Politics — Ever get tired of filling out the same mundane medical form asking about allergies, family history and current medications every time you go to the doctor? Tallahassee residents fed up with the paperwork may have the opportunity to help pilot a new app that allows patients to electronically share information with their providers. Called WellConnector, the app could prevent patients from having to fill out duplicative forms. It also could help cement Tallahassee as a budding IT hub. The app is the brainchild of public relations maven Allison Aubuchon.

— TOP OPINION —

Let the Florida Governor run for President” via the Tampa Bay Times editorial board — It’s a good bet that DeSantis will run for President. If he does, Florida law is vague on whether he would need to resign as Governor — and when he would need to do it. Florida lawmakers should end any doubt by passing a law that allows the Governor to run without resigning. It’s an easy tweak and the right thing to do. Over the years, the Legislature has waffled on whether state politicians running for federal office must resign or not. The law is murky, but it shouldn’t be. There’s no need for protracted litigation or political counterpunching. Just clear up the law to say the Governor — any Florida Governor — can run for federal office without resigning.

— OPINIONS —

The Twitter censorship files” via The Wall Street Journal editorial board — Elon Musk’s release of internal emails relating to Twitter’s 2020 censorship is news by any definition. There will be many threads to unspool as more is released, but a couple of points are already worth making. The first is that Musk would do the country a favor by releasing the documents all at once for everyone to inspect. So far he’s dribbled them out piecemeal through journalist Matt Taibbi’s Twitter feed, which makes it easier for the media to claim they can’t report on documents because they can’t independently confirm them. A second point is a huzzah for U.S. Rep. Ro Khanna, the California progressive Democrat, who warned Twitter in 2020 about the free-speech implications and political backlash.

Trump’s political death wish.” via Byron York of the Washington Examiner — What is Trump thinking? Even as he is a declared candidate for the 2024 Presidential Election, he remains obsessed with the events of 2020. For Trump, the coming election will be about the past. Trump has no problem being seen as a poor loser. That’s not an image the public usually likes. If someone loses, and especially if they are somehow screwed in the process, the public is sympathetic, especially if the person takes the loss, doesn’t complain, and goes back to work. Trump has argued that unless what he views as the injustice of the 2020 election is rectified, then there might never be another fair election in the United States. Trump has never been able to prove that the 2020 election was stolen.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

— ALOE —

NASA sends Orion on slingshot around moon to head back to Earth” via Richard Tribou of the Orlando Sentinel — NASA whipped the Orion spacecraft around the moon Monday for a slingshot back to Earth as the Artemis I mission nears its completion. Orion previously performed a similar maneuver to send it into a lunar orbit that brought it out to the farthest distance flown by a human-rated spacecraft — more than 268,000 miles from Earth. It left that orbit on Dec. 1 moving closer and closer back to the moon over the last few days. Monday’s return maneuver saw Orion fly within 79.2 miles from the lunar surface before making a powered flyby burn to use the moon’s gravity for an Earthbound trajectory.

‘Magic of Disney’s Animal Kingdom’ rolling out again in early 2023” via Dewayne Bevil of the Orlando Sentinel — The second season of “Magic of Disney’s Animal Kingdom” will debut in January. Ten episodes of the docuseries look at the care and feeding of creatures not only at Animal Kingdom theme park but also at Animal Kingdom Lodge, The Seas pavilion at Epcot, and at Tri-Circle-D Ranch, home to more than 5,000 animals overall. The series was filmed over five months at Walt Disney World, including its backstage animal-health facilities. Scenes will include pulling a manatee tooth, elephants on a first date, the birth of a Hartmann’s mountain zebra, and the introduction of Disney’s first blacktip reef shark. One episode is titled “Chilled-Out Cheetahs.”

‘Magic of Disney’s Animal Kingdom’ Season Two is set to premiere early next year.

Orlando Epic Universe work is ‘right on track,’ executive says” via Katie Rice of the Orlando Sentinel — As enthusiasts spot roller coaster track at the construction site of Universal’s upcoming theme park Epic Universe, NBCUniversal CEO Jeff Shell said the Orlando attraction is “right on track” to open by summer 2025. “I don’t think we’ve said the exact date that we’re opening in, but we will have an impact in ‘25. It will open in time for the summer of ‘25,” he said Monday. Shell gave added context on the theme park during the UBS Global TMT Conference on Monday, saying it has “perfect timing” as Orlando sees high demand from tourists. He mentioned recent hotel booking trends and Orlando International Airport opening its new Terminal C in September as evidence of that.

Tortoise found covered in concrete. Florida rescuers had unique approach to remove it” via Mark Price of the Bradenton Herald — A tortoise “covered in concrete” was found wandering a Florida neighborhood, and the predicament left rescuers perplexed over how to undo it. It happened in Punta Gorda, about 100 miles south of Tampa, and photos show a thick layer of mortar was stuck to the underside of the gopher tortoise. “A house was being built next to where this gopher tortoise was found and we believe it must have walked through the freshly poured concrete,” the Peace River Wildlife Center wrote on Nov. 17 on Facebook. The tortoise was identified as a hatchling, around 6 months old, and it was likely “out on its own for the first time” when the mishap occurred, the center said.

— HOLIDAYS —

Happening today — Palm Beach Republican Rep. Rick Roth will take part in the Log Cabin Republicans of Palm Beach County holidays event: 6:30 p.m., Chela’s Mexican Food & Bar, 11150 Okeechobee Blvd., Royal Palm Beach.

Jazzy ‘Charlie Brown Christmas’ swings on after 57 years” via David Bauder of The Associated Press — The Mendelson family would love to find the envelope where their father, Lee, scribbled some lyrics to jazz musician Vince Guaraldi’s composition “Christmastime is Here” for an animated TV special featuring the “Peanuts” gang in 1965. The producer always said it had taken less than a half-hour to write, and he likely tossed the scrap of paper away. He was in a rush. Everything was rushed. No one even knew, once the special aired, whether it would ever be seen again. “Christmas just doesn’t feel like Christmas without hearing that album in the background,” said Derrick Bang, author of the biography “Vince Guaraldi at the Piano.”

It’s not Christmas without it: ‘A Charlie Brown Christmas’ has become an indelible holiday tradition for nearly 60 years.

Indelible Management Solutions to provide ‘Holiday of Hope’” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — Indelible Management Solutions’ philanthropic initiative, Indelible Gives, is hosting Santa Claus and his elves in Fort Myers Saturday, Dec. 10 to spread holiday cheer at the group’s “A Holiday of Hope” event. More than 2,000 Fort Myers families, many affected by Hurricane Ian, will receive free toys and clothing and enjoy a concert featuring Grammy Award-winning artists Anthony Hamilton and Tamela Mann. Indelible is sponsoring the giveaway and event in collaboration with several partners, including Lowes, the Whitehouse Family Foundation, the City of Fort Myers, and other community sponsors.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Belated best wishes to Carlecia Collins of GrayRobinson. Celebrating today is one of Southwest Florida’s finest, Vickie Brill, as well as Lara Medley Prewitt and former U.S. Rep. Francis Rooney.

___

Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Renzo Downey, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.

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How North Carolina’s Political Warfare Could Impact The Entire Country - FiveThirtyEight

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North Carolina is no stranger to making political waves, and in the weeks ahead, the Tar Heel State’s internal battles could create ripple effects across the country.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear arguments in Moore v. Harper, which stems from the North Carolina Supreme Court’s decision to reject a congressional district map drawn by the state legislature that the court found to be so extremely gerrymandered, it was unconstitutional. The former’s pending ruling could have major ramifications for the division of power over elections in every state in the country. It’s also the culmination of a decade-long effort by North Carolina Republicans to cling onto power. 

Depending on how it rules, the Supreme Court could give partisan state lawmakers even greater power to draw district lines and run elections, while weakening the authority of state courts to keep those powers in check. And in charting the course of this case, it’s clear exactly what the plaintiffs — North Carolina Republicans — hope to gain. The story starts over a decade ago, when the GOP took control of the Tar Heel State’s legislature, and winds up at the steps of the Supreme Court, where some of those same Republican lawmakers are hoping to shore up their power in a fast-growing and demographically shifting state.

North Carolina’s most extreme political maneuvers have threatened to seep out and radicalize other parts of the country before. Moore v. Harper could spring an actual leak.


Moore v. Harper emerged from a quagmire of political warfare that has been swirling in the Tar Heel State for decades. It all began … well, truthfully, it all began a few centuries ago, but for brevity’s sake, let’s start in the slightly more recent history: the 2010 midterms. Republicans rode a red wave to win control of both the North Carolina House and Senate for the first time since Reconstruction. The win was partially aided by REDMAP, a project helmed by former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie that funneled funds into statehouse races with the explicit aim of gaining Republican control over the upcoming redistricting cycle following the 2010 census. And since North Carolina is one of a minority of states where the governor has virtually no power over drawing district maps, the newly GOP-controlled state assembly had total control over the redistricting process. 

They wasted no time getting to work, hiring a GOP strategist renowned for his skill at crafting expertly gerrymandered maps. He lived up to his reputation, helping the state legislature draw a map that would have likely given Republicans an additional four Congressional seats. It was quickly challenged in court by a coalition of voter rights groups including the state NAACP and League of Women’s Voters, kicking off a protracted saga of courtroom battles.

“Every single election after that, with the exception of 2020, […] every one of those maps adopted, state and congressional, were eventually tossed and ruled unconstitutional,” said Bob Phillips, executive director of Common Cause North Carolina, a nonpartisan government reform group that has frequently joined on court challenges over the maps. “And I don’t know if there’s any other state in America that can say that.”

Political activists in North Carolina have long campaigned against gerrymandered state legislative and congressional maps.

As the legal ping-pong continued, it was no secret that state lawmakers were set on drawing maps that would favor the GOP. At the time, Rep. David Lewis, a Republican member of the General Assembly’s redistricting committee said: “I propose that we draw the maps to give a partisan advantage to 10 Republicans and three Democrats, because I do not believe it’s possible to draw a map with 11 Republicans and two Democrats.” These maps weren’t just theoretically skewed in the Republicans’ favor: In election after election, Democrats would receive a much lower share of seats compared to their share of the popular vote.

This legal battle eventually made its way to the Supreme Court in 2019 as Rucho v. Common Cause (Rucho being Bob Rucho, the former chair of the state Senate Redistricting Committee). In a landmark 5-4 ruling, the court seemed to put the whole issue to bed by essentially saying “actually, federal courts don’t have a say when it comes to cases around partisan gerrymandering,” closing down one avenue to legally challenge extremely gerrymandered maps. 

And while all that cartographical drama was unfolding, there were yet more power struggles happening in the statehouse. In the heady final weeks heading into the 2016 election, Hurricane Matthew made landfall in the southeast portion of the state, causing widespread, deadly flooding and otherwise wreaking havoc for weeks. By December, it was perfectly reasonable for the GOP-controlled General Assembly to hold an emergency session to avail disaster relief funds. And if it happened to use that session to also strip the incoming Democratic governor of various powers and responsibilities — notably the power to appoint members of the state election board — well, that was just the cherry on top. 

The election of former Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory as governor four years earlier had given Republicans in the state a rare trifecta, and they weren’t going to relinquish such power without a fight. After his defeat in 2016, McCrory’s campaign set up a legal defense fund and protested vote counts in 50 counties, citing “irregularities” and making allegations of voter fraud, for which some campaign supporters were later sued, before conceding a month after the election. Then the state assembly stripped incoming Gov. Roy Cooper of much of the powers the office had enjoyed — most of which Cooper clawed back through lawsuits

McCrory said this wasn’t a partisan move because that same legislature had actually tried to strip powers from the governor even while he was still in office — he, too, had to sue to keep certain powers under the administrative branch. “There are constantly power struggles between the legislature and the executive branch, and not just with the governor,” McCrory said in an interview with FiveThirtyEight. “That’s been a constant battle in North Carolina for years.”

Republican state legislators in North Carolina examine old congressional maps during a state Senate redistricting committee meeting in 2016.

In 2020, the pandemic ushered in a new drama. Republicans in the state legislature tried to get the Supreme Court to weigh in on a dispute over changes to election rules around the pandemic, but they were rebuffed. 

Just as disputes over the last district maps, drawn a decade earlier, finally came to a close, it was time to draw new maps once again. Thanks to the continued flow of new residents to the Tar Heel State, North Carolina gained a new district after the 2020 census. The state legislature approved a map that converted 13 districts — eight Republican-leaning seats, five Democratic-leaning ones — to 14, with three highly competitive districts, four Democratic-leaning seats and seven Republican-leaning ones. It went about as well as the last time the state went through redistricting. Voting rights groups sued, and the Democrat-controlled state Supreme Court threw the maps out and ordered the lawmakers to try again. When the state legislature presented new maps to a three-judge panel, the state House and Senate lines were affirmed — but not the congressional districts. At this point, with the primary elections looming, the judges enlisted a group of outside experts to draw up maps to be used in the meantime. The state Supreme Court ruled it was within the lower court’s authority to do so. The state legislature disagreed. 

But to get the Supreme Court to weigh in on these kinds of state-level issues, Republicans in the statehouse needed a constitutional hook. They had toyed with just such a legal hook when trying to get the Supreme Court to arbitrate the pandemic disputes, and while the court declined to take up the case, some of the more conservative justices signaled support for the legal theory Republicans put forward, emboldening the GOP to find another way to get it in front of the court. 

The independent state legislature theory is based on a very literal interpretation of a line in the U.S. Constitution (in Article 1, Section 4), which reads: “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.” Disregarding the gratuitous use of capital letters, that basically means that states get to set up all the rules around election administration — like whether voters can vote by mail, or what time polling locations close — unless Congress has created a superseding rule, like the fact that elections must be held on the first Tuesday following the first Monday in November. The key words are “legislature thereof,” which proponents of the ISL theory take at face value: Legislatures alone are charged with determining how elections are run in their respective states.

Since 2010, when Republicans in the state legislature swept into power, North Carolina has been an epicenter for political warfare over the fairness of congressional and state legislative maps.

Opponents of this theory argue that historical context and centuries of precedence show that “legislature” means all of the state bodies that are generally involved in setting laws, including not only legislatures but also constitutions, courts and election boards. And in fact, in its ruling in Rucho v. Common Cause, the Supreme Court explicitly noted that federal courts shouldn’t be weighing in on partisan gerrymandering … but state courts could, based on state statutes and constitutions.

Jason Torchinsky, a senior adviser and general counsel for the National Republican Redistricting Trust who has written an amicus brief for Moore v. Harper, said he didn’t see the case as aimed at stripping state courts of their role in redistricting. Instead, he said the main issue was whether the court overstepped its bounds by instituting new maps, rather than simply striking down the original maps.

“I don’t know that there would be a decision that would basically say, ‘No challenges under the state constitution may ever be brought in North Carolina,’ because I don’t think that that’s what this case is about,” Torchinsky said. “This case is about that line drawing that I mentioned. There’s a difference between interpreting a law and making a policy.”


Once again, political power struggles within North Carolina threaten to leach out into the rest of the country. If the Supreme Court decides to endorse even part of the ISL theory, it could sap the power state courts have to serve as a check on state legislatures when it comes to redistricting or elections more broadly. Already limited in what cases they could bring to federal court, voters unhappy with the laws their elected officials pass could lose yet another avenue to make their case. It could even mean that voter-led changes to election laws — like the efforts that brought ranked-choice ballots to Alaska or established an independent redistricting committee in Colorado — could be made illegitimate since they weren’t enacted by the state legislature. 

This case goes beyond the borders of North Carolina, but understanding the political climate that spawned it gives a clear picture of what’s at stake for the rest of the country. The ongoing political warfare to gain and hold power could be replicated in other states by politicians of both parties, if ISL theory — even partially — becomes the law of the land.  

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Monday, December 5, 2022

Trump's slow 2024 start worries allies - CNN

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CNN  — 

Back in 2015, Donald Trump’s first campaign rally in Iowa as a contender for the Republican presidential nomination came just 10 hours after he declared his candidacy in New York. The following day, he was across the country in New Hampshire, with plans to visit South Carolina before the end of his first week.

But seven years later – and nearly three weeks into his 2024 presidential campaign – Trump has yet to leave his home state or hold a public campaign event in an early voting state.

Trump’s disengaged posture has baffled former and current allies, many of whom experienced firsthand the frenetic pace of his two previous White House bids, and who now say he’s missed the window to make a splash with his 2024 rollout. The uninspiring launch of his supposed political comeback comes as his campaign appears to be operating on auto pilot, with few signs of momentum or enthusiastic support from donors or party heavyweights.

“I don’t know why he rushed this. It doesn’t make sense,” one Trump adviser said of his lackluster announcement speech last month, which came one week after Republicans delivered an underwhelming performance in the midterm elections and as the rest of the party turned its attention to the Senate runoff contest in Georgia.

Trump’s announcement was roundly panned for lacking zest, so much so that some audience members attempted an early exit, and his recent hosting of Holocaust denier Nick Fuentes and embattled rapper Kanye “Ye” West at Mar-a-Lago only further galvanized GOP opposition against him. A person familiar with the matter said Trump spent the Sunday after Thanksgiving asking people around him if they thought the backlash to his private dinner with Ye and Fuentes was truly damaging.

“So far, he has gone down from his bedroom, made an announcement, gone back up to his bedroom and hasn’t been seen since except to have dinner with a White supremacist,” said a 2020 Trump campaign adviser.

“It’s 1000% a ho-hum campaign,” the adviser added.

The only other notable event to occur since Trump announced he was running again was both unintended and dreaded for weeks by the former president’s attorneys. Just three days after Trump launched his campaign, Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed a special counsel to oversee two ongoing criminal investigations into the 45th president and his associates.

While some Republicans long speculated that Trump entered the presidential race early to inoculate himself from further legal peril, his candidate status instead appeared to serve as the catalyst for Garland’s announcement.

A Trump campaign spokesman said the former president has held “multiple events since he announced,” noting his remote appearance at the annual Republican Jewish Coalition summit last month, video remarks to a conference for conservative activists in Mexico, a Patriots Freedom Fund event, his remarks at two separate political events held at Mar-a-Lago, and a tele-rally Monday night for Georgia Republican Senate hopeful Herschel Walker. None of these events were billed as campaign events.

Trump’s current campaign trajectory has left both allies and Republican opponents wondering if he will flip a switch in 2023 or fail to adapt to a different political environment. Even as the GOP’s undisputed 2024 frontrunner, some of his closest allies say he simply cannot afford to take his position for granted at a moment when influential Republicans appear exceedingly interested in dislodging him from his influential perch.

“If Trump was working in a lush jungle environment in 2016, he is in a desert today,” said a Republican close to the former president. “The political landscape has totally changed. He was irresistible because no one understood him but now everybody knows how to deal with him, so the question is, can he recalibrate?”

Some sources said Trump’s first-out-of-the-gate strategy, which was said to be partly aimed at clearing the GOP primary field, already looks poised to fail.

“You know what it’s done to dissuade people from getting in? Nothing. He hasn’t hired anyone. He hasn’t been to the early states,” said the 2020 campaign adviser.

Trump’s lack of impact was on display a week after his announcement, as other 2024 Republican hopefuls took the stage in Las Vegas for the annual RJC summit. Some attacked the former President, while others, once allies of Trump, indicated they were ready to take him on in 2024.

Just days before the event, Trump’s team announced plans for him to address the group remotely. Two people familiar with the matter said his virtual address was organized by aides at the last minute after he grew agitated upon realizing the event was a cattle call for Republican presidential prospects and he was not on its original list of speakers. The Trump campaign spokesman disputed this account, saying Trump’s remote remarks were planned “many weeks prior to the event.”

Other sources who for months harbored concerns that Trump wasn’t as enthusiastic about running as he was letting on in public appearances now say his inactivity has increased their worry. Apart from a planned fundraising appearance for a classical education group in Naples last weekend, the former president has yet to announce any events before the end of the year. A person familiar with the matter said Trump’s team is toying with a pre-Christmas event of some kind, though his campaign has not yet finalized any travel. In a statement last week panning a move by Democratic officials to put South Carolina first on the party’s primary calendar, Trump appeared to tease a visit to Iowa, currently the first state to cast votes in both parties’ presidential nominating contests, “in the very near future.”

“I can’t wait to be back in Iowa,” he said.

Campaign is ‘taking a breather’

Inside Trump’s campaign, sources said his current approach is entirely intentional, dismissing concerns that he has forfeited the spotlight at a critical time but acknowledging that Trump is currently working with a bare-bones staff.

The campaign “is doing exactly what everyone always accuses [them] of not doing – taking a breather, planning and forming a strategy for the next two years,” said one source familiar with Trump’s operation said.

Senior staff are holed up working on a plan,” this person added, noting that Trump’s campaign travel is expected to begin early in the new year, right as possible rivals who have taken the holidays to mull their own political futures may start launching their own campaigns or exploratory committees.

And while some Trump allies have been surprised by his lack of a hiring spree right out of the gate, his campaign has been content to maintain a lean operation while he’s the only candidate in the field. The former president is not expected to tap a formal campaign manager, instead elevating three trusted advisers – Susie Wiles, Brian Jack and Chris LaCivita – to senior roles, but allies said he will likely need to build out his on-the-ground staff in early voting states in the months to come, as well as a robust communications operation if he finds himself in a competitive primary.

While those hires don’t need to happen immediately, people close to Trump said his early entry into the 2024 race does raise questions about how he will sustain campaign-related costs over a longer period than other candidates who declare later, including chief potential rival Ron DeSantis. CNN has previously reported that the Florida governor, should he decide to take on Trump, would announce next May or June, after the conclusion of his state’s legislative session and just months before the Republican party could host its first primary debate, according to a party official involved in debate planning.

“The question a lot of us have is can Trump sustain a campaign for two years. That’s the real difficulty here. The pacing we’re seeing right now is designed to do that,” said a person close to Trump.

In addition to planning rallies and events and building momentum around the former President, the campaign staff is also looking at how to best insulate Trump after many were caught off guard learning of Trump’s dinner with Fuentes and West. The event, and the days of fallout and negative coverage, has expedited some of the campaign’s long-term plans, including ensuring a senior campaign staffer is always with the former president, a source familiar with the campaign said.

Trump’s White House staff worked with resort staff during his presidency in a similar fashion to protect Trump from potentially “unsavory” guests of members, the source said. Those close to Trump blamed “low level staffers” for allowing Fuentes to slip into the resort without any flags being raised.

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Politics Podcast: Warnock Has The Edge In A Close Race - FiveThirtyEight

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It is Election Day once again in Georgia. While this year’s Senate runoff will not determine control of the Senate, it will still decide the state’s representation in Washington for the next six years. It will also be another high profile test of a candidate — Herschel Walker — handpicked by former President Trump.

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Atlanta Journal-Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how things have looked on the ground in the final stretch of the campaign.

Later in the show, ABC News reporter Brittany Shepherd describes the internal debate within the Democratic Party over what a new presidential primary calendar might look like in 2024.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

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Thursday, December 1, 2022

Hungary: Data Misused for Political Campaigns - Human Rights Watch

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(Brussels) – The Hungarian government’s misuse of personal data during the 2022 national elections campaign undermined privacy and further tilted an already uneven playing field in favor of the ruling party, Fidesz, Human Rights Watch said in a report released today.

The 85-page report, “Trapped in a Web: The Exploitation of Personal Data in Hungary’s 2022 Elections,” examines data-driven campaigning in Hungary’s April 3, 2022 elections, which resulted in a fourth consecutive term for Fidesz and Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Human Rights Watch found that the government repurposed data it collected from people applying for services to spread Fidesz’s campaign messages. The blurred lines between government and ruling party resources, including data, and the capture of key institutions by the government led to selective enforcement of laws that further benefited Fidesz.

“Using people’s personal data collected so they could access public services to bombard them with political campaign messages is a betrayal of trust and an abuse of power,” said Deborah Brown, senior technology researcher at Human Rights Watch. “The Hungarian government should stop exploiting personal data for political campaigns and guarantee a level playing field for elections.”

Human Rights Watch interviewed experts on privacy and data protection, election integrity, and political campaigns; representatives of political parties; companies involved in data-driven campaigning; and people whose data was misused by political campaigns. Human Rights Watch also undertook technical analysis of political party and campaign websites to understand how they handled users’ data.

Human Rights Watch found that the government repurposed data it had collected from people who signed up for the Covid-19 vaccine, applied for tax benefits, or registered for mandatory membership in a professional association to spread Fidesz’s campaign messages. For example, people who submitted their personal data to a government-run website to register for the Covid-19 vaccine received political messages intended to influence the elections in support of the ruling party.

The 2022 elections took place after 12 successive years of Orbán governments, which have undermined the independence of the judiciary, dominated public institutions, controlled the media landscape, criminalized activities by civil society organizations, and demonized vulnerable groups and minorities.

Hungary has a responsibility under regional and international law to protect privacy and to guarantee the right to participate in democratic elections. An even political playing field is a necessary condition for the right to participate in democratic elections, as outlined in regional and international standards.

Several people interviewed said they did not believe they were consenting to receive other government communications when they registered on the vaccine website, and were angered by the use of the registration data for political and electoral campaigning. They said they felt the government had taken advantage of them at a particularly vulnerable time during the pandemic.

A 36-year-old woman from the Budapest metropolitan area said that in the context of the fear and uncertainty caused by Covid-19, when she saw the question about further contact with the government, she had “this feeling that you cannot do otherwise, I have to be vaccinated.… This was not a free choice and that’s why I was so angry.”

Parties across the political spectrum in Hungary, as in other countries, have invested in data-driven campaigning, including building detailed voter databases, running online petitions and consultations to collect data, purchasing online political ads, deploying chatbots on social media, and conducting direct outreach to voters and supporters through robocalls, bulk SMS messaging, and emails. Such tactics have significant implications for human rights, including the right to privacy.

Human Rights Watch found that the opposition parties’ processing of personal data lacked transparency and risked undermining privacy but, unlike with the ruling party, found no evidence that their handling of data created unfairness in the election process.

People interviewed reported receiving unsolicited phone calls and text messages and being bombarded by political ads on social media from a wide range of political parties. Human Rights Watch detected that some of the data collected about visitors to the major party-affiliated websites were shared, through the use of third-party trackers, with known advertising technology companies like Facebook and Google. This practice suggests a culture of disregard for people’s privacy.

Hungary should rectify shortcomings concerning the use of people’s data for political campaigns in laws, policies, and practices, Human Rights Watch said. Specifically, it should ensure that legal and institutional frameworks unambiguously prohibit the misuse of administrative resources, including personal data collected from citizens. State institutions such as the judiciary, election administration bodies, and the data protection authority should be genuinely independent, impartial, and insulated from abuse by the ruling party.

At time of publication, government officials had not responded to Human Rights Watch’s November 14 letter asking for comment on the report’s main findings.

Political parties in Hungary should be more transparent about how they collect and process voters’ data, and demonstrate that they are taking their responsibility to respect people’s privacy seriously.

Facebook and other platforms provided a degree of transparency into campaign spending by offering limited insight into spending on political ads with their ad libraries. However, the opacity of certain ad targeting and delivery techniques provided by Facebook, which Hungarian political parties used, risks targeting people directly or indirectly based on their political opinions, further violating their right to privacy and undermining the democratic process.

Both the European Data Protection Supervisor and the European Data Protection Board have highlighted the risk of using personal data beyond their initial purpose, including to unduly influence people when it comes to political discourse and democratic electoral processes.

Social media platforms have a responsibility to respect human rights. They should provide meaningful transparency so that people can sufficiently understand the ad targeting and delivery techniques used, both in ad libraries and in real time. They should also ensure that ad targeting and delivery are not, directly or indirectly, based on observed or inferred special categories of data, including political opinions.

The European Union should urgently assess whether the exploitation of personal data collected by the Hungarian government for political campaigning is consistent with EU laws, specifically the EU General Data Protection Regulation, Human Rights Watch said. The European Commission should bring infringement proceedings against the National Authority for Data Protection and Freedom of Information for failing to meet the qualifications of an independent supervisory authority.

“In Hungary and elsewhere, electoral campaigns today rely heavily on data, often collected in non-transparent ways,” Brown said. “Governments, privacy and election experts, the tech industry and others should ensure that data-driven campaigning does not undermine people’s privacy or their right to participate in a democratic election.”

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