Saturday, May 30, 2020
Wall Street begins high stakes summer with market at critical levels as economy reopens - CNBC
The 100 days since the stocks peaked on Feb. 19 have been among the most dramatic and destabilizing in market history.
The fastest-ever 35% collapse from a record high followed by one of the strongest and most relentless rebound rallies in decades. The violence of the descent, on an unprecedented enforced economic halt and incipient credit panic, was hard to escape. And the ferocity of the run higher difficult for many wary investors to believe or ride.
Now that the rally has reached what could be critical levels just as the economy reopens, it makes sense to interrogate the market for clues of its intentions from here.
Is the recovery rally looking vulnerable?
Perhaps in spots it is. Most of the potential points of weakness fit into the category of short-term overheated conditions.
The S&P 500 at last week's close of 3044 had recouped 70% of the total losses in the post-February crash, a remarkable move that also slung the index above its 200-day moving average at the 3000 level.
While no automatic restraint on further progress, the 200-day average has acted as a bit of a stall-out area after previous important market bottoms. Even in the pronounced V-shaped recovery from late-2018 saw a quick slippage back to this level for a second touch before carrying higher.
As Instinet technical strategist Frank Cappelleri put it Friday, "The price action and chart patterns remain bullish, while the secondary indicators are flashing warning signs."
Late last week some 96% of S&P 500 stocks exceeded their 50-day average – about as high as this measure gets.
While it suggests the tape is overbought, Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies points out the market only hits such a state in powerful uptrends and meaningful pullbacks aren't usually immediate.
Options traders are getting quite aggressive in their bullish bets again, with the 10-day average of downside-put to upside-call volume near extreme lows seen in January of this year and January 2018, both near market peaks.
Friday's sluggishness could reflect fast-money fatigue after a headlong sprint, coming after a nasty downside reversal midday Thursday. And some widely followed trend indicators have reached "upside exhaustion" readings.
But bearish patterns have failed to take hold the past two months, with downside momentum lacking and dips limited to around 5%.
Are investors still fighting this rally?
Traditional retail investors and many institutional fund managers have been cautious and confounded by the persistence and magnitude of this rally. Measures of retail fund flows, individual-investor surveys and fund cash levels all continue to reflect a lack of belief in the market.
Systematic hedge-fund positioning was quite defensive and by most measures these tactical players have begun ramping up their equity exposure.
Wall Street strategists as a group are muted in their market view. The average sell-side S&P 500 price target is 3067 – about 1% above last week's closing level and well below the typical forecasted gain of 5-10%.
For sure, an open-ended bullish scenario does not enjoy popularity. Suggest that the Fed and Congress have pre-emptively short-circuited a recessionary feedback loop, stimulus will be enough to bridge consumers and businesses, equity valuations are justified by ultra-low interest rates and companies will wring huge efficiencies out of this turmoil, and expect to be shouted down.
Set against all the evidence of caution, though, are the aforementioned overheated options activity and the evident surge in small-investor speculation and rampant account openings at online brokerage firms.
It's still possible to suggest positioning in aggregate is restrained and the so-called pain trade remains higher for stocks, but this case is not as strong as it was a few weeks ago.
What to make of the vaunted rotation into cheaper cyclical stocks?
A couple days of dramatic outperformance by smaller, beaten-down, economically sensitive stocks last week was roundly embraced as a potential shift away from the same old growth-stock leadership and a sign the market was handicapping a smoother economic revival.
It came as if on cue, with many investors citing the record spread between growth and value performance and widespread complaints that the market was over-reliant on the biggest five stocks, representing 21% of the S&P 500.
It also came as some of the Big Five have not only held up well but have expanded their valuations to record heights. Microsoft, Apple and Alphabet are all either at all-time or multi-year highs in forward price/earnings multiple.
In general, this broadening of the market is a positive. Ned Davis Research says cyclical outperformance following a period of extreme volatility tends to persist for several months.
At the same time, when the longtime market leaders start to tire and traders begin grabbing for the ragged laggards, it often marks a mature phase of a rally is underway. Jurrien Timmer, head of macro research at Fidelity, points out we've seen value rotations near the end of the past three months, hinting at a month-end rebalancing effect.
Why aren't Treasury yields higher or the VIX lower?
Arguably, the inability of the 10-year Treasury yield to stay above 0.7% says bond investors are withholding their endorsement of the equity market's brighter outlook. Perhaps. And new lows in yields would not likely be welcomed by the equity crowd.
But mostly, compressed yields reflect the Fed keeping overnight rates at zero indefinitely, Fed bond buying and lack of inflation.
The distant parts of the Treasury yield curve are quite steep, with the 30-year above 1.4%, a positive macro signal. And credit spreads, while well above February lows, have trended lower in recent weeks.
The Volatility Index in the high 20s, even as the S&P has been in rally mode for 60 days, largely reflects the actual daily jumpiness of the market, with the 10-day realized annualized volatility around 20. And trader caution over the extreme economic stress and recent trauma of a massive sell-off is keeping a bid in index options that has VIX somewhat elevated compared to underlying market action.
Because, as these traders must recognize, this market moment prompts more probing questions than clear answers, as Wall Street enters a high-stakes summer.
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Global Coke Market 2020-2024 | Demand For Zinc to Boost Growth | Technavio - Business Wire
LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Technavio has been monitoring the coke market and it is poised to grow by USD 23.12 bn during 2020-2024, progressing at a CAGR of over 2% during the forecast period. The report offers an up-to-date analysis regarding the current market scenario, latest trends and drivers, and the overall market environment.
Technavio suggests three forecast scenarios (optimistic, probable, and pessimistic) considering the impact of COVID-19. Please Request Latest Free Sample Report on COVID-19 Impact
The market is fragmented, and the degree of fragmentation will accelerate during the forecast period. ArcelorMittal SA, China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd., Drummond Co. Inc., JSW Steel Ltd., Mechel PAO, Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corp., OKK Koksovny AS, Shanxi Lubao Coking Group Co. Ltd., SunCoke Energy Inc., and United States Steel Corp. are some of the major market participants. To make the most of the opportunities, market vendors should focus more on the growth prospects in the fast-growing segments, while maintaining their positions in the slow-growing segments.
Demand for zinc has been instrumental in driving the growth of the market.
Coke Market 2020-2024 : Segmentation
Coke Market is segmented as below:
■ End-user
■ Iron and Steel Industry
■ Others
■ Geographic Landscape
■ APAC
■ EMEA
■ The Americas
To learn more about the global trends impacting the future of market research, download a free sample: https://www.technavio.com/talk-to-us?report=IRTNTR40131
Coke Market 2020-2024 : Scope
Technavio presents a detailed picture of the market by the way of study, synthesis, and summation of data from multiple sources. Our coke market report covers the following areas:
■ Coke Market size
■ Coke Market trends
■ Coke Market industry analysis
This study identifies advances in the mining industry as one of the prime reasons driving the coke market growth during the next few years.
Coke Market 2020-2024 : Vendor Analysis
We provide a detailed analysis of around 25 vendors operating in the coke market, including some of the vendors such as ArcelorMittal SA, China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd., Drummond Co. Inc., JSW Steel Ltd., Mechel PAO, Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corp., OKK Koksovny AS, Shanxi Lubao Coking Group Co. Ltd., SunCoke Energy Inc., and United States Steel Corp. Backed with competitive intelligence and benchmarking, our research reports on the coke market are designed to provide entry support, customer profile and M&As as well as go-to-market strategy support.
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Coke Market 2020-2024 : Key Highlights
■ CAGR of the market during the forecast period 2020-2024
■ Detailed information on factors that will assist coke market growth during the next five years
■ Estimation of the coke market size and its contribution to the parent market
■ Predictions on upcoming trends and changes in consumer behavior
■ The growth of the coke market
■ Analysis of the market’s competitive landscape and detailed information on vendors
■ Comprehensive details of factors that will challenge the growth of coke market vendors
Table Of Contents :
PART 01: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PART 02: SCOPE OF THE REPORT
■ 2.1 Preface
■ 2.2 Preface
■ 2.3 Currency conversion rates for US$
PART 03: MARKET LANDSCAPE
■ Market ecosystem
■ Market characteristics
■ Value chain analysis
■ Market segmentation analysis
PART 04: MARKET SIZING
■ Market definition
■ Market sizing 2019
■ Market outlook
■ Market size and forecast 2019-2024
PART 05: FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
■ Bargaining power of buyers
■ Bargaining power of suppliers
■ Threat of new entrants
■ Threat of substitutes
■ Threat of rivalry
■ Market condition
PART 06: MARKET SEGMENTATION BY END-USER
■ Market segmentation by end-user
■ Comparison by end-user
■ Iron and steel industry - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Others - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Market opportunity by end-user
PART 07: CUSTOMER LANDSCAPE
PART 08: GEOGRAPHIC LANDSCAPE
■ Geographic segmentation
■ Geographic comparison
■ APAC - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ EMEA - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Americas - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Key leading countries
■ Market opportunity
PART 09: DECISION FRAMEWORK
PART 10: DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES
■ Market drivers
■ Market challenges
PART 11: MARKET TRENDS
■ Development of smart cities
■ Advances in mining industry
■ Emergence of green steel
PART 12: VENDOR LANDSCAPE
■ Overview
■ Landscape disruption
■ Competitive scenario
PART 13: VENDOR ANALYSIS
■ Vendors covered
■ Vendor classification
■ Market positioning of vendors
■ ArcelorMittal SA
■ China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd.
■ Drummond Co. Inc.
■ JSW Steel Ltd.
■ Mechel PAO
■ Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corp.
■ OKK Koksovny AS
■ Shanxi Lubao Coking Group Co. Ltd.
■ SunCoke Energy Inc.
■ United States Steel Corp.
PART 14: APPENDIX
■ Research methodology
■ List of abbreviations
■ Definition of market positioning of vendors
PART 15: EXPLORE TECHNAVIO
About Us
Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio’s report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio’s comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.
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Trade-war collateral damage: destruction of $1.7 trillion in U.S. companies’ market value - MarketWatch
How do you make $1.7 trillion disappear? A trade war is one way, a new report has found.
A study by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York adds to previous findings that, despite pronouncements from the White House, Americans are paying — and paying stiffly — for the U.S.-China trade war.
“ Whether it was Washington, Beijing or even a third-party country announcing its often pugnacious trade intent, U.S. businesses ‘bore virtually all of the costs.’ ”
The billions in tariffs hurled back and forth between Washington and Beijing have reduced the market value of U.S.-listed companies by $1.7 trillion during the course of the 2-year-old tax offensive. The conflict will continue to weaken the investment growth rate for these businesses up to two percentage points by year’s end, the study said.
The trade war is causing financial loss for several reasons, from the inefficient pricing that taxes can create, to supply disruptions, to companies’ pricey adaptations to the levies, among others. But this particular cause of losses is largely sentiment-based.
From the MarketWatch archives (December 2019):Fed study finds Trump tariffs backfired
The authors found that U.S. and Chinese trade-war policy announcements — usually via press conferences or policy statements — provoked sharp market-price declines, lowering returns on capital and investment rates.
The study model found that policy announcements lowered U.S. equity prices in a 3,000-company sample group by a total of six percentage points. Those outfits together command a $28 trillion market capitalization, so the six-percentage-point fall wiped away $1.7 trillion.
That’s a vanishing of value equivalent to the national GDPs of Russia, Canada or South Korea.
Several findings surprised economists. One was the sustained hit that stocks took from 11 specific policy announcements over the two years. But whether it was Washington, Beijing or even a third-party country announcing its often pugnacious trade intent, U.S. businesses “bore virtually all of the costs,” the report said.
And, surprisingly, these weren’t only China-exposed companies. Investment incentives for players outside the bilateral tussle were frequently hit.
Perhaps the most striking finding was the protracted nature of the damage — on market players accustomed to volatility often measured in hours or days or a presidential tweet’s fleeting life span.
“Reductions in share prices due to trade war announcements significantly lower firm-level investment rates four quarters later,” the report found. “Most of the 2019 effect is driven by the impact of tariffs on U.S. firms doing business with China, but the 2020 effects are driven more by the fact that tariff announcements drove down returns of firms regardless of their exposure to China.”
Even when it was China that was hurt there often was pain caused to American businesses along the way. The slowing of the Chinese economy partly because of the hostilities, and China’s nontariff counterattacks, “likely diminished the returns [U.S.] firms made on investments in the Chinese market.”
No one expected a protectionism contest between the world’s superpowers to be cheap. But the costs have come in various forms and often with America left holding the bill.
Tanner Brown covers China for MarketWatch and Barron’s.
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Vacation Rental Market 2020-2024 | Adoption of Effective Promotional Strategies to Boost Growth | Technavio - Business Wire
LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Technavio has been monitoring the vacation rental market and it is poised to grow by USD 62.97 billion during 2020-2024, progressing at a CAGR of almost 7% during the forecast period. The report offers an up-to-date analysis regarding the current market scenario, latest trends and drivers, and the overall market environment.
Technavio suggests three forecast scenarios (optimistic, probable, and pessimistic) considering the impact of COVID-19. Request for Technavio's latest reports on directly and indirectly impacted markets. Market estimates include pre- and post-COVID-19 impact on the Vacation Rental Market. Download free sample report
The market is fragmented, and the degree of fragmentation will accelerate during the forecast period. 9flats.com Pte Ltd., Airbnb Inc., Booking Holdings Inc., Expedia Group Inc., Hotelplan Holding AG, MakeMyTrip Pvt. Ltd., NOVASOL AS, Oravel Stays Pvt. Ltd., TripAdvisor Inc., and Wyndham Destinations Inc. are some of the major market participants. The adoption of effective promotional strategies will offer immense growth opportunities. To make the most of the opportunities, market vendors should focus more on the growth prospects in the fast-growing segments, while maintaining their positions in the slow-growing segments.
The adoption of effective promotional strategies has been instrumental in driving the growth of the market.
Technavio's custom research reports offer detailed insights on the impact of COVID-19 at an industry level, a regional level, and subsequent supply chain operations. This customized report will also help clients keep up with new product launches in direct & indirect COVID-19 related markets, upcoming vaccines and pipeline analysis, and significant developments in vendor operations and government regulations. https://www.technavio.com/report/global-vacation-rental-market-industry-analysis
Vacation Rental Market 2020-2024: Segmentation
Vacation Rental Market is segmented as below:
■ Management
■ Managed by Owners
■ Professionally Managed
■ Geographic Landscape
■ APAC
■ Europe
■ MEA
■ North America
■ South America
To learn more about the global trends impacting the future of market research, download a free sample: https://www.technavio.com/talk-to-us?report=IRTNTR40053
Vacation Rental Market 2020-2024: Scope
Technavio presents a detailed picture of the market by the way of study, synthesis, and summation of data from multiple sources. Our vacation rental market report covers the following areas:
■ Vacation Rental Market Size
■ Vacation Rental Market Trends
■ Vacation Rental Market Analysis
This study identifies technological advances as one of the prime reasons driving the vacation rental market growth during the next few years.
Register for a free trial today and gain instant access to 17,000+ market research reports.
Technavio's SUBSCRIPTION platform
Vacation Rental Market 2020-2024: Key Highlights
■ CAGR of the market during the forecast period 2020-2024
■ Detailed information on factors that will assist vacation rental market growth during the next five years
■ Estimation of the vacation rental market size and its contribution to the parent market
■ Predictions on upcoming trends and changes in consumer behavior
■ The growth of the vacation rental market
■ Analysis of the market’s competitive landscape and detailed information on vendors
■ Comprehensive details of factors that will challenge the growth of vacation rental market vendors
Table of Contents:
PART 01: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PART 02: SCOPE OF THE REPORT
■ 2.1 Preface
■ 2.2 Preface
■ 2.3 Currency conversion rates for US$
PART 03: MARKET LANDSCAPE
■ Market ecosystem
■ Market characteristics
■ Market segmentation analysis
PART 04: MARKET SIZING
■ Market definition
■ Market sizing 2019
■ Market size and forecast 2019-2024
PART 05: FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
■ Bargaining power of buyers
■ Bargaining power of suppliers
■ Threat of new entrants
■ Threat of substitutes
■ Threat of rivalry
■ Market condition
PART 06: CUSTOMER LANDSCAPE
PART 07: GEOGRAPHIC LANDSCAPE
■ Geographic segmentation
■ Geographic comparison
■ Europe - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ North America - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ APAC - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ MEA - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ South America - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Key leading countries
■ Market opportunity
PART 08: MARKET SEGMENTATION BY MANAGEMENT
■ Market segmentation by management
■ Comparison by management
■ Managed by owners - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Professionally managed - Market size and forecast 2019-2024
■ Market opportunity by management
PART 09: DECISION FRAMEWORK
PART 10: DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES
■ Market drivers
■ Market challenges
PART 11: MARKET TRENDS
■ Instant bookings
■ Rapid growth of online booking
■ Adoption of effective promotional strategies
■ Other trends
PART 12: VENDOR LANDSCAPE
■ Overview
■ Landscape disruption
■ Competitive scenario
PART 13: VENDOR ANALYSIS
■ Vendors covered
■ Vendor classification
■ Market positioning of vendors
■ 9flats.com Pte Ltd.
■ Airbnb Inc.
■ Booking Holdings Inc.
■ Expedia Group Inc.
■ Hotelplan Holding AG
■ MakeMyTrip Pvt. Ltd.
■ NOVASOL AS
■ Oravel Stays Pvt. Ltd.
■ TripAdvisor Inc.
■ Wyndham Destinations Inc.
PART 14: APPENDIX
■ Research methodology
■ List of abbreviations
■ Definition of market positioning of vendors
PART 15: EXPLORE TECHNAVIO
About Us
Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio’s report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio’s comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.
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Muscatine Area Farmers Market opens for 2020 season - Discover Muscatine
MUSCATINE, Iowa–In March, the COVID-19 pandemic began upending the way people conduct every type of business. Not even sure Governor Kim Reynolds would allow markets to open this season, Muscatine Area Farmers Market Manager Jennifer DeFosse watched the news closely and began making plans for a very different sort of farmers market. “We knew we needed to make some changes to accommodate the COVID-19 virus and we needed to procure some items, such as hand sanitizer and face masks, which we knew would be hard to procure,” recalls DeFosse.
In order to plan out how this year’s market would work and to acquire the supplies vendors would need for safety and sanitation, DeFosse moved the market’s open date to June 2. Now that June has arrived, the market has opened, with a number of new procedures in place aimed at keeping shoppers and vendors safer.
In compliance with the governor’s public health disaster declaration proclamation, the market will consist of food vendors only. Unlike in past years, the market will have no outdoor music, fitness or kids programs, cooking demonstrations, or sample stations.
To help prevent transmission of the virus, DeFosse asks all vendors and shoppers to wear a mask and to stay at least six feet apart as much as possible. She also requests people not bring pets to the market. To reduce the amount of person to person contact, more vendors will utilize PayPal and other virtual payment methods. Vendors will also not allow shoppers to use reusable bags of coffee cups. Hand sanitizer at each table will allow everyone do clean their hands whenever they need to.
However, many things about the market will remain the same. Through the end of October, the Muscatine Area Farmers Market will operate on its usual days, Tuesdays from 2:30 to 5:30 p.m. and Saturdays from 7:30 to 11:30 a.m. Local farmers will continue to sell in season produce, and area bakers will still have their tasty creations for sale. “It’s still the healthiest, freshest, produce you can get,” emphasized DeFosse.
Additionally, DeFosse says the market will provide a chance for farmers to sell produce at an economically challenging time for them, and to continue to participate in the Farmer’s Market Nutrition Program, which helps provide fresh food to people who receive food assistance. “I am so grateful we get to open–our farmers are definitely struggling,” stated Defosse. “I don’t know how our farmers would have survived without markets.”
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Friday, May 29, 2020
Contemporary Hyde Park rehab hits the market for nearly $1.5M - The Cincinnati Enquirer
A remodeled, ultra-modern house in Hyde Park with high ceilings, high-end finishes and a high energy-efficiency rating recently hit the market for just under $1.5 million.
The 4,292-square-foot house at 2872 Erie Ave. is the first renovated residential property in the area to be certified LEED Platinum - the highest rating established by the U.S. Green Building Council, according to Realtor Julie Back, the listing agent with Sibcy Cline Realtors.
The focus on sustainability can be seen in the use of wooden beams and floors, brick walls, stone surfaces and other reusable materials throughout the house, which is just a short distance away from Hyde Park Square, Back said.
The house also blends in the latest trends in modern architecture and minimalist design, including a marble-enclosed built-in fireplace, a spa-like master bath and a two-car garage with a folding glass door.
"There is nothing cookie-cutter about this house,'' Back said. "It has everything today's homebuyers are looking for - modern style, open spaces with loads of light.''
Take a look inside:
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