Most everyone knew: A landslide Democratic victory in the presidential election — accompanied by huge congressional majorities — would embolden the party’s vocal left wing to demand big stuff, claiming “mandate” support.
It wasn't to be.
The election results — with the composition of the new Congress — should have quieted demands from the left.
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It hasn't.
“We won this election for Joe Biden
Joe BidenPro-Trump protestors, counter-protesters and police clash in DC after day of election demonstrations Castro says 'there's still work to do' on Biden Cabinet diversity Robert Zoellick says human rights, European relations to play key roles in Biden foreign policy MORE,” claims Nikayla Jefferson of the Sunrise movement, advocates for radical action on climate change. “He definitely owes his administration to us.”
He doesn't.
Activists didn't elect Joe Biden.
He won comfortably by 4.5 percent and by more than 7 million votes. He did this by running strongly with independents, self-styled political moderates and suburbanites.
The left versus mainstream progressives fight should have been settled in the primaries. Biden opposed a single payer health care system, the expansive Green New Deal, banning fracking and de-funding the police. He soundly defeated Sens. Bernie Sanders
Bernie SandersPerdue, Ocasio-Cortez spar on Twitter over Georgia races Iowa caucus mishap fueled by DNC interference, state missteps: autopsy report Stimulus checks should take back seat to jobless aid, economists say MORE (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth WarrenOn The Money: Coronavirus relief talks stall as liability issue foils negotiators | Sanders, Hawley promise fight to secure stimulus checks | Senate passes bill to avert shutdown Senate passes defense bill, setting up Trump veto fight Warren: Biden administration has 'moral obligation' to forgive student debt MORE (D-Mass.), torch bearers of the left.
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The Democratic left, post-election, point to new allies, especially in the House: several from New York City as well as Missouri's Cori Bush. They won, however, in overwhelmingly Democratic districts.
More instructive is Kara Eastman, who came close to winning a pretty liberal district in Omaha last time and was thought to have a good shot in 2020. She checked all the left-wing boxes, Medicare-for-All, Green New Deal. But she was defeated by a Republican incumbent by four and half points, while Biden was carrying the district by six and half. An 11-point differential is considerable.
The Democrats’ dismal showing in congressional contests — losing, instead of gaining, ten seats in the House and losing every competitive Senate race — is attributable to several factors, including Trump's ability to turn out a committed base. But Republicans also were able to tar Democrats for wanting to defund the police, take away private health insurance and enact socialistic policies.
This, in most cases, was false. But incumbent Democrats — from Virginia moderate Abigail Spanberger
Abigail Davis SpanbergerBipartisan group seizes spotlight, and more clout Overcoming the Democrats' rural problem Lawmakers pressure leaders to reach COVID-19 relief deal MORE (D-Va.), a freshman who survived a close race, to veteran African American power broker, Jim Clyburn
James (Jim) Enos ClyburnBiden to tap Fudge to lead Department of Housing and Urban Development: reports Sanders surrogate Nina Turner considering run for Fudge seat: report Clyburn blasts Trump calling state officials on election results as 'attempted coup' MORE, of South Carolina — are voicing deep concerns that this rap is costly.
If you doubt this, watch last week's Georgia debate which may decide control of the Senate. Republican incumbent Kelly Loeffler
Kelly LoefflerTo win Georgia and the Senate, Democrats need to go all-in on minimum wage Perdue, Ocasio-Cortez spar on Twitter over Georgia races Palin campaigns in Georgia for Loeffler, Perdue MORE, perhaps the most robotically programmed candidate I've ever seen, repeatedly accused her opponent of wanting to defund the police and push for a government run health care plan. It's not true, but Republican polls clearly show that Democrats have a perception problem on these issues.
The real problem, the Democratic left has insisted, is a failure to embrace bold — even radical — measures that would energize and turn out millions of new voters.
Biden won more than 80 million votes — a record. Exit polls showed that was fueled by strong showings from moderates. Overall, it was the largest presidential election turnout since 1900.
It's pretty hard to top that.
Given the results — and the composition of the next Congress — why does anyone think Biden could push even a semi-radical agenda? Look at the numbers. The Senate will either be evenly divided — including a couple fairly conservative Democrats — or controlled by Mitch McConnell
Addison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellWindow quickly closing for big coronavirus deal Trump signs one-week funding bill to avoid shutdown Congress 'close' to massive government funding deal MORE (R-Ky.) and the Republicans.
The outlook won't be much better in the House, where Speaker Nancy Pelosi
Nancy PelosiPelosi calls on Wilkie to resign from VA after watchdog report findings Members of both parties hail Supreme Court decision Window quickly closing for big coronavirus deal MORE (D-Calif.) will have a precarious less-than-five-vote margin.
To get anything done President Biden will have to compromise, move right.
That's not an ideological choice: It's a mathematical one.
For at least two years there won't be the votes for anything that the “movement left” wants.
One big achievement that might be possible would be infrastructure, an area where Trump dropped the ball. It's desperately needed, a good long term economic and jobs investment, supported by much of the business and labor communities, and even some Republicans.
There is no one who understands both the substance and the politics of this issue and could more skillfully put together a coalition — even in this polarized environment — than Rahm Emanuel, a former House leader, White House chief of staff and two term mayor of Chicago. He would be the perfect Transportation Secretary.
Al Hunt is the former executive editor of Bloomberg News. He previously served as reporter, bureau chief and Washington editor for the Wall Street Journal. For almost a quarter century he wrote a column on politics for The Wall Street Journal, then The International New York Times and Bloomberg View. He hosts 2020 Politics War Room with James Carville. Follow him on Twitter @AlHuntDC.
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