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Monday, September 20, 2021

Stock Market Today: Dow Falls 500 Points as Evergrande Fears Mount - Barron's

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Wall Street was poised for a rough start to the week Monday.

Angela WeissAFP/Getty Images

Wall Street kicked off Monday in rough shape amid a broad fall in global stocks. Investors fretted over the implications and potential financial contagion of the potential looming failure of China’s Evergrande property group.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened down more than 500 points, or 1.5%, after the index fell 166 points Friday—marking three straight weeks of declines. The S&P 500 was off 1.5% on Monday morning and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.6%.

Overseas, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index tumbled 3.3%, with the Hang Seng Properties index down 6.7%, while the pan-European Stoxx 600 declined 2.1%.

Investor attention was squarely focused on China on Monday, where the seemingly imminent failure of highly indebted property developer China Evergrande Group (3333.Hong Kong) loomed large.

Global sentiment has been rattled by the Evergrande situation. The real estate giant has some $300 billion in liabilities—more than 6% of the Chinese’ property sector’s total—including debt obligations due this week that it can’t repay with cash. The group said Sunday it had begun repaying some of its investors with real estate.

Also read: Evergrande Has Debt Due This Week It Can’t Pay. Why It Isn’t Just China’s Problem.

“Contagion risks from the Evergrande meltdown are the prime cause of today’s selloff. You’ve got all kinds of banks and insurers caught in the net but ultimately, I don’t see this as a Lehman’s moment right now,” said Neil Wilson, an analyst at broker Markets.com. The bankruptcy of investment banking giant Lehman Brothers in 2008 is viewed as one of the catalysts of what became the 2008-09 financial crisis.

“What we are seeing today is how risks get priced gradually then suddenly. It is definitely a major cause for investor concern right now and it is possible we see further losses before the dip finally gets bought,” Wilson added.

Analysts noted that thin liquidity—with markets closed in mainland China, Japan, and South Korea for holidays—contributed to Monday’s selloff.

Cryptocurrencies also fell, with Bitcoin slipping more than 7% to below $44,000, as crypto investors were caught up in spillover fears.

Separately, commodities tumbled after Chinese premier Li Keqiang said over the weekend that the country would work to stabilize commodity prices. China has in the past released strategic reserves of metals and oil into domestic markets in a bid to tame prices. 

Continuous contract futures for copper fell 2.5%, platinum lost 1.7%, and palladium dropped 2.2%. International benchmark Brent crude futures were down 2% to below $73.90 a barrel, with U.S. oil futures down 2.3% to around $70.30.

Evergrande concerns and a commodities slump come as a major decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve is due Wednesday. The central bank’s monetary policy-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee, will meet Tuesday and Wednesday before Fed Chair Jerome Powell makes a statement. 

Investors are closely watching the Fed for clues as to how and when the central bank will begin slowing, or tapering, its Covid-19 pandemic-era program of monthly asset purchases, which add liquidity to markets. Indications that a taper will come sooner rather than later could cause markets to wobble even more.

“Whatever the Fed says on Wednesday tapering is a removal of accommodation,” said Andrew Brenner, a managing director at investment group NatAlliance Securities. “Fed is between a rock and a hard place but they have wasted a window of opportunity to start and end tapering and building some optionality.”

“This is the September correction we were worried about,” Brenner said.

Here are several stocks on the move Monday:

Evergrande fell a further 10.2% in Hong Kong, hitting an 11-year low during the trading session, as it faced bank loan interest due Monday and bond coupon payments set for Thursday.

Other Chinese property stocks suffered in Hong Kong. Sinic Holdings (2103.Hong Kong) halted trading after it plunged 87% while Henderson Land Development (12.Hong Kong) declined 13.2%. China’s largest insurer, Ping An (2318.Hong Kong), fell 5.8%—it is the insurance company most exposed to the property sector.

Shares in U.S. Covid-19 vaccine makers fell, as Pfizer (PFE) slipped 1%, with its German partner BioNTech (BNTX) down 4% and Moderna (MRNA) declining 2.2%. A Food and Drug Administration advisory panel voted Friday to reject a broad rollout of vaccine booster shots. Pfizer on Monday morning said that its vaccine was safe and effective in children aged 5 to 11.

Write to editors@barrons.com

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